Assured Guaranty Stock Today

AGO Stock  USD 76.26  0.84  1.09%   

Performance

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Odds Of Distress

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Assured Guaranty is selling at 76.26 as of the 18th of April 2024; that is -1.09 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 77.1. Assured Guaranty has under 5 % chance of experiencing financial distress over the next 2 years, but has generated negative returns over the last 90 days. Equity ratings for Assured Guaranty are calculated daily based on our scoring framework. The performance scores are derived for the period starting the 19th of March 2024 and ending today, the 18th of April 2024. Click here to learn more.
Business Domain
Insurance
IPO Date
23rd of April 2004
Category
Financial Services
Classification
Financials
Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda. The company has 55.52 M outstanding shares of which 978.94 K shares are presently shorted by investors with about 1.93 days to cover. More on Assured Guaranty

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Assured Stock Highlights

Most reasonable investors view market volatility as an opportunity to invest at a favorable price or to sell short against a bearish trend. Assured Guaranty's investment highlights are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Assured Guaranty or challenge it. These highlights can help you better understand the position you are entering and avoid costly mistakes.
CEODominic Frederico
Thematic IdeaInsurance (View all Themes)
Old Names[Big Tree Carbon Inc, Atlas Iron Limited]
Business ConcentrationProperty & Casualty Insurance, Insurance - Specialty, Financial Services, NYSE Composite, SP Small-Cap 600, WSE WIG INDEX, Insurance, Financials, Insurance, Insurance—Specialty, Financial Services (View all Sectors)
Average Analyst Recommendation
Analysts covering Assured Guaranty report their recommendations after researching Assured Guaranty's financial statements, talking to executives and customers, or listening in on Assured Guaranty's conference calls. The current trade recommendation is based on an ongoing consensus estimate among financial analysts covering Assured Guaranty. The Assured consensus assessment is calculated by taking the average forecast from all of the analysts covering Assured Guaranty.
Financial Strength
Based on the key measurements obtained from Assured Guaranty's financial statements, Assured Guaranty may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average chance of going through some form of financial crunch next quarter. Financial strength of Assured Guaranty is based on its profitability, leverage, liquidity, source of funds, and operating efficiency.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Return On Assets0.040.0589
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Asset Turnover0.0970.0809
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.750.7862
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt903.8 M1.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities365.8 M385 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Liabilities Total1.6 B1.7 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets12.1 B12.5 B
Sufficiently Down
Pretty Stable
Total Current Assets7.5 B7.9 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Assured Guaranty's financial strength is of vital concern to both outside investors and internal stakeholders. Efficiency and cost control are keys to Assured Guaranty's success, along with its ability to generate sufficient cash flow to pay bills, repay debt, and make a consistent year-to-year profit.
Financial leverage usually refers to the use of borrowed funds to amplify returns from an investment. In general, analyzing the relationship between debt to total assets helps investors to understand Assured Guaranty's financial leverage. It provides some insight into what part of Assured Guaranty's total assets is financed by creditors.
By using current balance sheet information, investors can analyze the liability, assets, and equity on Assured Guaranty's books and decide whether to invest or hold. Statistics such as return on equity (ROE), debt to equity (D/E) help investors determine how Assured Guaranty deploys its capital and how much of that capital is borrowed.
Liquidity
Assured Guaranty cash flow analysis is essential to understand how it generates and spends money over a specific period. It can also help you figure out where your money is going and how much cash you have available at a given moment. The company has 1.69 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.33, which is OK given its current industry classification. Assured Guaranty has a current ratio of 0.79, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Assured Guaranty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Assured Guaranty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Assured Guaranty sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Assured to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Assured Guaranty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Change In Cash

82.95 Million
Assured Guaranty (AGO) is traded on New York Stock Exchange in USA. It is located in 30 Woodbourne Avenue, Hamilton, Bermuda, HM 08 and employs 350 people. Assured Guaranty is listed under Property & Casualty Insurance category by Fama And French industry classification. The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 4.38 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Assured Guaranty's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Assured Guaranty's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities. Assured Guaranty runs under Insurance sector within Financials industry. The entity has 55.52 M outstanding shares of which 978.94 K shares are presently shorted by investors with about 1.93 days to cover. Assured Guaranty has about 1.44 B in cash with 461 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 23.31.
Check Assured Guaranty Probability Of Bankruptcy
Ownership Allocation
Assured Guaranty retains a total of 55.52 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Assured Guaranty outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Assured Guaranty to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Assured Guaranty. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Assured Guaranty as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Note that regardless of who owns the company, if the true value of the entity is less than the market is willing to pay for it, you may not be able to generate positive returns over time.
Check Assured Ownership Details

Assured Stock Price Odds Analysis

Contingent on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Assured Guaranty jumping above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.83%. The Assured Guaranty probability density function shows the probability of Assured Guaranty stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days. Considering the 90-day investment horizon Assured Guaranty has a beta of 0.4127. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Assured Guaranty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Assured Guaranty will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally, assured Guaranty has an alpha of 0.0244, implying that it can generate a 0.0244 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
  Odds Below 76.26HorizonTargetOdds Above 76.26
4.12%90 days
 76.26 
95.83%
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Assured Guaranty to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.83 (This Assured Guaranty probability density function shows the probability of Assured Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .

Assured Stock Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Assured Guaranty that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Assured Guaranty's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Assured Guaranty's value.
InstituionRecorded OnShares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-09-30
814.1 K
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc2023-09-30
691.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-09-30
660.4 K
Brown Advisory Holdings Inc2023-12-31
630.5 K
Alyeska Investment Group, L.p.2023-09-30
589.8 K
Norges Bank2023-12-31
556 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-09-30
500.1 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-09-30
483.7 K
Philadelphia Financial Mgmt Of San Franc2023-09-30
445.4 K
Blackrock Inc2023-09-30
7.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-09-30
6.8 M
View Assured Guaranty Diagnostics

Assured Guaranty Historical Income Statement

Assured Guaranty Income Statement is one of the three primary financial statements used for reporting Assured's overall financial performance over a current year or for a given accounting period. An Income Statement sometimes referred to as the statement of Assured Guaranty revenue and expense. Assured Guaranty Income Statement primarily focuses on the company's revenues and expenses during a particular period.
At this time, Assured Guaranty's Net Income From Continuing Ops is very stable compared to the past year. View More Fundamentals

Assured Stock Against Markets

Picking the right benchmark for Assured Guaranty stock is fundamental to making educated investment choices. Many naive investors compare their positions with the S&P 500 or with the Nasdaq. But these benchmarks are not all-inclusive and generally should be used only for large-capitalization equities or stock offerings from large companies. When the price of a selected benchmark declines in a down market, there may be an uptick in Assured Guaranty stock price where buyers come in believing the asset is cheap. The opposite is true when the market is bullish; so, accurately picking the benchmark for Assured Guaranty is critical whether you are bullish or bearish towards Assured Guaranty at a given time. Please also check how Assured Guaranty's historical prices are related to one of the top price index indicators.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Assured Guaranty without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Assured Guaranty Corporate Directors

Assured Guaranty corporate directors refer to members of an Assured Guaranty board of directors. The board of directors generally takes responsibility for the Assured Guaranty's affairs and long-term direction of the entity. A corporate director does not make decisions for the corporation on his own. As a member of the board of directors, she or he must function as a part of a group that makes decisions on behalf of the business only by the board of directors' meetings. To pass a resolution, a majority of Assured Guaranty's board members must vote for the resolution. The Assured Guaranty board of directors' duties also include the election, removal, and supervision of officers, including the adoption, amendment, and repeal of bylaws.
Alan KreczkoIndependent DirectorProfile
Lawrence BuhlIndependent DirectorProfile
Thomas JonesIndependent DirectorProfile
Bonnie HowardIndependent DirectorProfile

How to buy Assured Stock?

Before investing in Assured Guaranty, you must ensure you fully understand your financial goals and how diversified (or not) your overall investments are now. Then, after you clearly understand your investment objectives, consider investing in Assured Guaranty. To buy Assured Guaranty stock, you can follow these steps:
  • Choose a brokerage firm: You need to select a brokerage firm to buy shares of Assured Guaranty. Some popular options include Charles Schwab, Fidelity, TD Ameritrade, and Robinhood.
  • Open an account: Once you have chosen a brokerage firm, you will need to open an account. You will be required to provide personal information, such as your name, address, and Social Security number.
  • Fund your account: You will need to deposit funds into your brokerage account to purchase Assured Guaranty stock. You can do this by transferring funds from your bank account or other investment accounts.
  • Place your order: Once you have located Assured Guaranty stock in your brokerage account, you can place your order to buy it. You will need to specify the number of shares you want to buy and the price you are willing to pay.
  • Monitor your investment: After you have purchased Assured Guaranty stock, you should monitor your investment to track its performance and make informed decisions about buying, selling, or holding the stock
It's important to note that investing in stocks, such as Assured Guaranty, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember various factors, including economic indicators, change in net worth, political events, company-specific news, and investor sentiment, can influence the stock market. These factors can cause fluctuations in stock prices and lead to market volatility affecting your buy or sell decision. However, volatility can also present opportunities for investors to make gains by buying stocks when prices are low and selling when they are high. It's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. For more information on how to buy Assured Stock please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.

Already Invested in Assured Guaranty?

The danger of trading Assured Guaranty is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Assured Guaranty is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Assured Guaranty. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Assured Guaranty is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Assured Guaranty offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Assured Guaranty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Assured Guaranty Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Assured Guaranty Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Assured Guaranty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
To learn how to invest in Assured Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.
Note that the Assured Guaranty information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Assured Guaranty's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Complementary Tools for Assured Stock analysis

When running Assured Guaranty's price analysis, check to measure Assured Guaranty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Assured Guaranty is operating at the current time. Most of Assured Guaranty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Assured Guaranty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Assured Guaranty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Assured Guaranty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Assured Guaranty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Assured Guaranty. If investors know Assured will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Assured Guaranty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.167
Dividend Share
1.12
Earnings Share
12.3
Revenue Per Share
16.267
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Assured Guaranty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Assured that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Assured Guaranty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Assured Guaranty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Assured Guaranty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Assured Guaranty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Assured Guaranty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Assured Guaranty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Assured Guaranty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.