Acadia Realty Trust Stock Price Prediction
| AKR Stock | USD 17.42 0.37 2.17% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Acadia Realty Trust stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Acadia Realty shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Acadia Realty's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Acadia Realty and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Acadia Realty's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Acadia Realty Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Acadia Realty's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.03 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.36 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.39 | Wall Street Target Price 18.6 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Acadia Realty based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Acadia stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Acadia Realty over a specific investment horizon. Using Acadia Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acadia Realty Trust from the perspective of Acadia Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Acadia Realty using Acadia Realty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Acadia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Acadia Realty's stock price.
Acadia Realty Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Acadia Realty's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Acadia. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Acadia Realty stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Acadia Realty may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Acadia Realty and may potentially protect profits, hedge Acadia Realty with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 15.7466 | Short Percent 0.0607 | Short Ratio 2.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 3 M | 50 Day MA 16.6596 |
Acadia Realty Trust Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Acadia Realty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Acadia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Acadia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Acadia Realty Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Acadia Realty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Acadia Realty.
Acadia Realty Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Acadia Realty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Acadia Realty Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Acadia Realty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Acadia Realty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Acadia Realty's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Acadia Realty. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Acadia Realty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Acadia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Acadia Realty after-hype prediction price | USD 17.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Acadia |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acadia Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acadia Realty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Acadia Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acadia Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Acadia Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Acadia Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Acadia Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acadia Realty's historical news coverage. Acadia Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.84 and 19.00, respectively. We have considered Acadia Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Acadia Realty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acadia Realty Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Acadia Realty Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Acadia Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acadia Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acadia Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.42 | 17.42 | 0.00 |
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Acadia Realty Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of April Acadia Realty Trust is traded for 17.42. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Acadia is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Acadia Realty is about 8315.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.42. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.08. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Acadia Realty Trust has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 295.49. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2024. The firm had 10:1 split on the 9th of December 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Acadia Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Acadia Realty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Acadia Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acadia Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Acadia Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acadia Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RPT | RPT Realty | 0.11 | 9 per month | 1.44 | 0.12 | 4.02 | (2.57) | 7.92 | |
| UBP | Urstadt Biddle | 0.43 | 6 per month | 0.53 | 0.14 | 2.63 | (1.92) | 30.45 | |
| UE | Urban Edge Properties | 0.1 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.08 | (1.85) | 8.88 | |
| KRG | Kite Realty Group | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.11 | (1.84) | 7.34 | |
| SITC | Site Centers Corp | (0.26) | 8 per month | 1.16 | (0.05) | 2.08 | (1.50) | 5.60 | |
| ROIC | Retail Opportunity Investments | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.01 | (2.58) | 6.09 | |
| IVT | Inventrust Properties Corp | (0.11) | 9 per month | 1.44 | (0.05) | 2.33 | (2.13) | 7.34 | |
| BFS | Saul Centers | (0.54) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.29 | (2.76) | 6.63 | |
| BRX | Brixmor Property | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.04 | (2.03) | 8.12 | |
| NTST | NetstreitCorp | 0.36 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.40 | (2.35) | 9.32 |
Acadia Realty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Acadia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acadia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acadia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Acadia Realty Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Acadia Realty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Acadia Realty Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Acadia Realty based on analysis of Acadia Realty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Acadia Realty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Acadia Realty's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0206 | 0.0476 | 0.0424 | 0.0601 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.54 | 4.16 | 4.68 | 4.41 |
Story Coverage note for Acadia Realty
The number of cover stories for Acadia Realty depends on current market conditions and Acadia Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acadia Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acadia Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Acadia Realty Short Properties
Acadia Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Acadia Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acadia Realty Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acadia Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acadia Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25.3 M |
Check out Acadia Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Complementary Tools for Acadia Stock analysis
When running Acadia Realty's price analysis, check to measure Acadia Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acadia Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Acadia Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acadia Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acadia Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acadia Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Acadia Realty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Acadia Realty. If investors know Acadia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Acadia Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Dividend Share 0.72 | Earnings Share 0.2 | Revenue Per Share 3.484 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) |
The market value of Acadia Realty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Acadia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Acadia Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Acadia Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Acadia Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Acadia Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Acadia Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Acadia Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Acadia Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.