AMC Entertainment Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

AMC -- USA Stock  

USD 20.65  0.10  0.48%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AMC Entertainment Holdings which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With AMC Entertainment hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of AMC Entertainment Holdings from the prospective of AMC Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AMC Entertainment over a specific investment horizon. Check also AMC Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

AMC Entertainment After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline

AMC Entertainment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 22, 2018
Current Value
After-hype Price
Target Odds
AMC Entertainment is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AMC Entertainment is based on 1 month time horizon.

AMC Entertainment Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.38% 1.34% 0.08%  0.13% 4 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

AMC Entertainment Hype Timeline

On 22 of September AMC Entertainment Holdings is traded for 20.65. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.08 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. AMC Entertainment Holdings is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 20.57. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 670.0%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.39% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on AMC Entertainment is about 386.72% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 20.78. About 103.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.28. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AMC Entertainment Holdings recorded loss per share of 2.17. This company last dividend was issued on 2018-09-07. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days.
Check also AMC Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

AMC Entertainment Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Eros International Plc 0.30 3 per month 4.33 (0.018)  8.60 (6.95)  15.46 
Discovery Communications 0.22 6 per month 0.45  0.17  3.71 (1.67)  9.06 
AMC Entertainment Holdings(0.20) 4 per month 0.96  0.17  2.41 (2.09)  4.50 
CBS Corporation 3.12 5 per month 0.70  0.0186  2.60 (1.50)  4.65 
Cinemark Holdings(0.11) 5 per month 0.66 (0.17)  2.02 (1.17)  3.38 
The Walt Disney Company(0.22) 4 per month 0.00 (0.26)  1.11 (1.23)  2.38 
Dolby Laboratories 0.10 3 per month 0.00 (0.17)  1.63 (2.69)  4.80 
Global Eagle Entertainment 0.11 2 per month 0.00 (0.33)  4.27 (6.02)  13.69 
Twenty First Century Fox 0.12 5 per month 0.00 (0.62)  0.38 (0.62)  1.57 
Live Nation Entertainment 0.025 3 per month 0.88  0.06  2.66 (1.79)  5.58 

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