AMC Entertainment Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

AMC -- USA Stock  

USD 16.60  0.60  3.49%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring AMC Entertainment headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AMC Entertainment Holdings brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With AMC Entertainment hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of AMC Entertainment Holdings from the prospective of AMC Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AMC Entertainment over a specific investment horizon. Check also AMC Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

AMC Entertainment After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

AMC Entertainment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

June 23, 2018
16.60
Current Value
16.56
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
28.35
Upside
AMC Entertainment is not very volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AMC Entertainment Ho is based on 1 month time horizon.

AMC Entertainment Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.07% 3.93% 0.04%  0.02% 6 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.6016.560.24%
786.00% 

AMC Entertainment Hype Timeline

On 23 of June AMC Entertainment Holdings is traded for 16.60. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. AMC Entertainment Holdings is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 16.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 786.0%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.24% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on AMC Entertainment is about 1236.63% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 16.58. About 105.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AMC Entertainment Holdings recorded loss per share of 3.68. This company last dividend was issued on 2018-06-08. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check also AMC Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

AMC Entertainment Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DHX Media Ltd 0.05 1 per month 0.00 (0.21)  3.33 (4.26)  11.76 
IQ(2.60) 1 per month 3.81  0.36  12.49 (6.54)  28.63 
VirTra 0.01 1 per month 0.00 (0.11)  4.39 (4.71)  11.17 
500 Limited(0.83) 5 per month 0.00 (0.06)  5.40 (9.91)  19.92 
Eros International Plc 0.15 4 per month 1.98  0.09  3.08 (2.65)  8.04 
Optium Cyber Systems 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AMC Entertainment Holdings(0.50) 6 per month 1.63  0.19  3.61 (3.49)  5.96 
Cinemark Holdings 0.42 5 per month 0.69  0.16  1.52 (1.57)  3.03 
Dover Downs Gaming Entertainment 0.07 4 per month 0.00 (0.09)  4.12 (5.43)  26.01 
Dover Motorsports 0.05 3 per month 0.00  0.24  2.50 (2.33)  7.03 

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