AMC Entertainment Price Prediction

AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 14.40  0.25  1.71%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring AMC Entertainment headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With AMC Entertainment hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc from the prospective of AMC Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AMC Entertainment over a specific investment horizon. Check also AMC Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

AMC Entertainment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
February 20, 2018
14.40
Current Value
Downside upside
14.40
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
22.23
Upside
Upside upside
AMC Entertainment is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AMC Entertainment Ho is based on 1 month time horizon.

AMC Entertainment Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.43% 2.61% 0.00%  0.01% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.4014.400.00%
0.00% 

AMC Entertainment Hype Timeline

On 20 of February AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc is traded for 14.40. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is presently at 0.43%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to AMC Entertainment is about 17400.0%%. The volatility of related hype on AMC Entertainment is about 17400.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 14.41. About 107.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.77. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc recorded loss per share of 1.5. This company last dividend was issued on 2017-12-01. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check also AMC Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

AMC Entertainment Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DHX Media Ltd 0.09 1 per month 0.00  0.007  0.00  4.05 (3.90)  9.78 
500 com Limited 0.00 0 per month 2.18  0.29 (3.55)  6.05 (4.16)  7.37 
Eros International Plc 0.00 0 per month 0.67  0.54 (2.06)  3.91 (2.14)  6.89 
AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc 0.00 0 per month 2.04  0.19 (2.72)  3.35 (3.17)  9.77 
Cinemark Holdings Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.48  0.50 (1.39)  2.09 (1.11)  6.69 
Dover Downs Gaming Entertainment Inc 0.00 0 per month 4.34  0.20 (3.32)  7.30 (7.46)  18.07