AMC Entertainment Price Prediction

AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 13.6  0.4  2.86%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring AMC Entertainment headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With AMC Entertainment hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc from the prospective of AMC Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AMC Entertainment over a specific investment horizon. Check also AMC Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

AMC Entertainment estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 21, 2017
13.6
Current Value
Downside upside
13.95
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
23.76
Upside
Upside upside
AMC Entertainment is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AMC Entertainment Ho is based on 1 month time horizon.

AMC Entertainment Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.5% 3.27% 0.35%  0.01% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.613.952.57%
467.14% 

AMC Entertainment Hype Timeline

On 21 of October AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc is traded for  13.6 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.35 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 13.95. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 467.14%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 2.57% where as daily expected return is presently at -0.5%. The volatility of related hype on AMC Entertainment is about 17347.48% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 13.61. The company has 4.93 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 199.2 . This implies that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check also AMC Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

AMC Entertainment Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DHX Media Ltd(0.25) 1 per month 0.00 (0.46)  0.00  3.9 (9.17)  16.33 
500 com Limited 0.00 0 per month 1.74 (0.0432) (1.4)  2.59 (2.78)  6.07 
Eros International Plc(0.3) 1 per month 0.00 (0.13)  0.00  5.54 (6.19)  14 
AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc 0.7 1 per month 0.00 (0.21)  0.00  4.78 (5.3)  16.06 
Cinemark Holdings Inc(0.03) 1 per month 1.26 (0.14) (1.08)  1.9 (1.64)  5.81 
Dover Downs Gaming Entertainment Inc(0.0079) 1 per month 2.61 (0.0402) (2.24)  3.39 (5.19)  11.72