Appfolio Stock Analysis

APPF Stock  USD 219.33  4.54  2.11%   
Appfolio is fairly valued with Real Value of 215.69 and Target Price of 207.4. The main objective of Appfolio stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Appfolio is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Appfolio's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Appfolio's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Appfolio's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Appfolio stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Appfolio is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Appfolio Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Appfolio's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Appfolio. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
For more detail on how to invest in Appfolio Stock please use our How to Invest in Appfolio guide.

Appfolio Stock Analysis Notes

About 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. AppFolio, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud business management solutions for the real estate industry. AppFolio, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Santa Barbara, California. Appfolio operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1600 people. For more info on Appfolio please contact Brian Donahoo at 805 364 6093 or go to https://www.appfolioinc.com.

Appfolio Quarterly Total Revenue

171.83 Million

Appfolio Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Appfolio's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Appfolio or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Appfolio had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: AppFolio to Report Q1 Earnings Whats in the Offing

Appfolio Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Appfolio to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Appfolio previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
25th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
25th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
23rd of January 2025
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Appfolio Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Appfolio's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2016-05-09
2016-03-31-0.1-0.090.0110 
2022-02-28
2021-12-31-0.02-0.04-0.02100 
2018-02-26
2017-12-310.090.120.0333 
View All Earnings Estimates

Appfolio Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Appfolio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Appfolio backward and forwards among themselves. Appfolio's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Appfolio's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Gw&k Investment Management, Llc2023-12-31
288.2 K
Driehaus Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
279.1 K
New York State Common Retirement Fund2023-12-31
275.5 K
Lord, Abbett & Co Llc2023-12-31
260 K
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2023-12-31
259.9 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
242.5 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
225.2 K
Norges Bank2023-12-31
222 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
218.1 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
2.1 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
1.7 M
Note, although Appfolio's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Appfolio Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 7.7 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Appfolio's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Appfolio's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Appfolio Profitablity

Appfolio's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Appfolio's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Appfolio is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Appfolio's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Appfolio's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Appfolio's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.01  0.01 

Management Efficiency

Appfolio has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0139 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0139 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Appfolio's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Appfolio manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Appfolio's Return On Assets are most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. At this time, Appfolio's Total Current Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Appfolio's current Intangible Assets is estimated to increase to about 31.6 M, while Non Current Assets Total are projected to decrease to roughly 123.4 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 8.34  8.76 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 6.10  6.40 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 167.56  175.94 
Price Book Value Ratio 20.76  21.80 
Enterprise Value Multiple 167.56  175.94 
Price Fair Value 20.76  21.80 
Enterprise Value 0.00  0.00 
The analysis of Appfolio's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Appfolio's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Appfolio Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
0.771

Technical Drivers

As of the 24th of April, Appfolio shows the Downside Deviation of 1.87, mean deviation of 2.06, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0645. Appfolio technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Appfolio, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Appfolio jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and skewness to decide if Appfolio is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 219.33 per share. Given that Appfolio has jensen alpha of 0.2078, we suggest you to validate Appfolio's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Appfolio Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was seven with a total number of output elements of fifty-four. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Appfolio middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Appfolio. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Appfolio Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Appfolio insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Appfolio's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Appfolio insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Appfolio Predictive Daily Indicators

Appfolio intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Appfolio stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Appfolio Corporate Filings

13A
5th of April 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
29th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
27th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
12th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
11th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
5th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
4th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
27th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Appfolio Forecast Models

Appfolio's time-series forecasting models are one of many Appfolio's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Appfolio's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Appfolio Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Appfolio prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Appfolio shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Appfolio. By using and applying Appfolio Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Appfolio entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 
Operating Profit Margin 0.02  0.02 
Net Profit Margin 0  0 
Gross Profit Margin 0.62  0.46 

Current Appfolio Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Appfolio analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Appfolio analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
207.4Strong Buy8Odds
Appfolio current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Appfolio analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Appfolio stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Appfolio, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Appfolio conference calls.
Appfolio Analyst Advice Details

Appfolio Stock Analysis Indicators

Appfolio stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Appfolio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Appfolio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Appfolio stock analysis, traders can identify Appfolio position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow71 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36.4 M
Total Stockholder Equity297.3 M
Tax Provision5.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.892
Property Plant And Equipment Net47.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments211.7 M
Cash49.5 M
Accounts Payable1.1 M
Net Debt-4.8 M
50 Day M A230.2081
Total Current Liabilities69.8 M
Other Operating Expenses619.5 M
Non Current Assets Total136.5 M
Non Currrent Assets Other8.9 M
Stock Based Compensation54.9 M
When determining whether Appfolio is a strong investment it is important to analyze Appfolio's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Appfolio's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Appfolio Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Appfolio. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
For more detail on how to invest in Appfolio Stock please use our How to Invest in Appfolio guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Appfolio Stock analysis

When running Appfolio's price analysis, check to measure Appfolio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Appfolio is operating at the current time. Most of Appfolio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Appfolio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Appfolio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Appfolio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Appfolio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Appfolio. If investors know Appfolio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Appfolio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
Earnings Share
0.06
Revenue Per Share
17.414
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.385
Return On Assets
0.0139
The market value of Appfolio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Appfolio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Appfolio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Appfolio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Appfolio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Appfolio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Appfolio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Appfolio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Appfolio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.