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Aqua risk analysis

 
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Aqua Pure Ventures

Stock@TSX Venture Exchange 
Canada CAD
     
We consider Aqua abnormally risky. Aqua Pure Ventures secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.01 which signifies that Aqua Pure Ventures had 0.01% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Our philosophy towards foreseeing volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with company specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Aqua Pure Ventures Inc which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the firm. Please confirm Aqua Pure Ventures Downside Deviation of 13.11, Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0166 and Mean Deviation of 6.63 to double-check if risk estimate we provide are consistent with the epected return of 0.09%.
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Investment horizon: 
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Projected Return Density against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Aqua has beta of 0.28 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Aqua avarage returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Aqua Pure Ventures Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover, Aqua Pure Ventures Inc has alpha of 0.28 implying that it can potentially generate 0.28% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
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Returns   
S&P 500   Aqua   
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of Aqua is 12001.82. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 107.98 and standard deviation of 10.39. The mean deviation of Aqua Pure Ventures Inc is currently at 6.63. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.89
alpha for Aqua Pure Ventures Inc(alpha)= 0.28 
beta for Aqua Pure Ventures Inc(beta) = 0.28 
volatility for Aqua Pure Ventures Inc(volatility) = 10.39 

Actual Return Volatility

Aqua Pure Ventures Inc shows 10.39% volatility of returns over 30 trading days. S&P 500 shows 0.89% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
Change Benchmark  Embed  Export  Timeline
    
May 22 2013
 0.10 
  
 0.10 
0.00  No Change   0.00%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 21 2013
 0.12 
  
 0.12 
0.00  No Change   0.00%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Aqua Pure Ventures Inc has a volatility of 10.39 and is 11.67 times more volatile than S&P 500. 96% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Aqua. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Aqua Pure Ventures Inc is higher than 96 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Aqua Pure Ventures Inc to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences little momentum. The pattern is not really predictable. Watch out for false signals. As returns on market increase, Aqua returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding Aqua will be expected to be smaller as well.

Aqua correlation with market

Significant diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Aqua Pure Ventures Inc. and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Aqua Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.0166
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.2835
Mean Deviation6.63
Semi-Deviation7.32
Downside Deviation13.11
Coefficient Of Variation12001.82
Standard Deviation10.39

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