Arctic Paper (Sweden) Volatility
| ARP Stock | SEK 56.00 0.35 0.62% |
We consider Arctic Paper very steady. Arctic Paper SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0313, which signifies that the company had a 0.0313% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Arctic Paper SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Arctic Paper's mean deviation of 2.14, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0489 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0857%. Key indicators related to Arctic Paper's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Arctic Paper Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Arctic daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Arctic's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Arctic Paper volatility.
Arctic |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Arctic Paper can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Arctic Paper at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Arctic stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Arctic Paper's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Arctic Paper Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Arctic Paper's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Arctic stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Arctic stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Arctic Paper's beta of 0.63 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Arctic Paper stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Arctic Paper SA currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.05 and Jensen Alpha of 0.14. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Arctic Paper's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Arctic Paper's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Arctic Paper SA Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Arctic Paper correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Arctic Beta |
Arctic standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.74 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Arctic Paper's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Arctic Paper's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in arctic stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Arctic Paper.
Arctic Paper SA Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Arctic Paper stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Arctic Paper's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Arctic Paper's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Arctic Paper's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Arctic Paper's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Arctic Paper's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Arctic Paper's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Arctic Paper's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Arctic Paper SA Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Arctic Paper Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Arctic Paper has a beta of 0.6282 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, Arctic Paper average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Arctic Paper SA will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arctic Paper or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arctic Paper's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arctic stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Arctic Paper SA has an alpha of 0.1395, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Arctic Paper Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Arctic Paper Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Arctic Paper is 3199.71. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 7.51 and standard deviation of 2.74. The mean deviation of Arctic Paper SA is currently at 2.12. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.63
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Arctic Paper Stock Return Volatility
Arctic Paper historical daily return volatility represents how much of Arctic Paper stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm assumes 2.7413% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6171% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Arctic Paper Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Arctic Paper or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Arctic Paper may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Arctic's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Arctic Paper and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Arctic Paper fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Arctic Paper S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells paper for printing houses, paper distributors, book and magazine publishing houses, and the advertising agencies in Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Scandinavia, Poland, other Western Europe, Central and Eastern Europe, and internationally. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Poznan, Poland. Arctic Paper operates under Paper Paper Products classification in Sweden and is traded on Stockholm Stock Exchange. It employs 1530 people.
Arctic Paper's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Arctic Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Arctic Paper's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Arctic Paper's volatility to invest better
Higher Arctic Paper's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Arctic Paper SA stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Arctic Paper SA stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Arctic Paper SA investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Arctic Paper's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Arctic Paper's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Arctic Paper Investment Opportunity
Arctic Paper SA has a volatility of 2.74 and is 4.42 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 24 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Arctic Paper. You can use Arctic Paper SA to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of Arctic Paper to be traded at kr54.88 in 90 days.Average diversification
The correlation between Arctic Paper SA and NYA is 0.15 (i.e., Average diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Arctic Paper SA and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Arctic Paper Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Arctic Paper's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Arctic Paper's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Arctic Paper stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0489 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2776 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.33 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1529.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Arctic Paper Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
| Visa vs. Arctic Paper | ||
| Ford vs. Arctic Paper | ||
| Salesforce vs. Arctic Paper | ||
| Citigroup vs. Arctic Paper | ||
| Alphabet vs. Arctic Paper | ||
| Walker Dunlop vs. Arctic Paper | ||
| Microsoft vs. Arctic Paper | ||
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Arctic Paper as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Arctic Paper's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Arctic Paper's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Arctic Paper SA.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arctic Paper SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Complementary Tools for Arctic Stock analysis
When running Arctic Paper's price analysis, check to measure Arctic Paper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arctic Paper is operating at the current time. Most of Arctic Paper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arctic Paper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arctic Paper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arctic Paper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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