ARMOUR Residential Valuation

ARR Stock  USD 18.73  0.26  1.37%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. ARMOUR Residential REIT shows a prevailing Real Value of $24.11 per share. The current price of the firm is $18.73. Our model approximates the value of ARMOUR Residential REIT from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.057, current valuation of (1.68 B), and Operating Margin of 0.90 % as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, most investors favor buying undervalued instruments and selling overvalued instruments since, in the future, asset prices and their ongoing real values will blend. Key fundamental drivers impacting ARMOUR Residential's valuation include:
Price Book
0.7064
Enterprise Value
-1.7 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
10.3109
Price Sales
15.431
Forward PE
4.0667
Undervalued
Today
18.73
Please note that ARMOUR Residential's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of ARMOUR Residential REIT is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing ARMOUR Residential's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for ARMOUR Residential REIT is useful when determining the fair value of the ARMOUR stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of ARMOUR Residential. Since ARMOUR Residential is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of ARMOUR Stock. However, ARMOUR Residential's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  18.73 Real  24.11 Target  30.0 Hype  18.73 Naive  18.45
The real value of ARMOUR Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of ARMOUR Residential REIT Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on ARMOUR Residential's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of ARMOUR Residential's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence ARMOUR Residential's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
24.11
Real Value
26.17
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of ARMOUR Residential REIT helps investors to forecast how ARMOUR stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of ARMOUR Residential more accurately as focusing exclusively on ARMOUR Residential's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
1.041.041.05
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.6718.7320.79
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
1.061.231.39
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
27.3030.0033.30
Details
Traditionally analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use ARMOUR Residential's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of ARMOUR Residential's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against ARMOUR Residential's closest peers. When choosing an evaluation method for ARMOUR Residential REIT, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

ARMOUR Residential Investments

(3.79 Billion)

ARMOUR Valuation Trend

Knowing ARMOUR Residential's actual value is paramount for traders to make sound investment determinations. ARMOUR Residential's real value is not only important for the investor to make better decisions but also for a more accurate overall view of ARMOUR Residential's financial worth over time since having this information enables investors and analysts to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both ARMOUR Residential's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing descisions.

ARMOUR Market Cap

ARMOUR Residential REIT is number one stock in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Financials industry is presently estimated at about 10.63 Billion. ARMOUR Residential holds roughly 925.8 Million in market capitalization claiming about 9% of equities under Financials industry.
Capitalization  Total debt  Valuation  Revenue  Workforce

ARMOUR Residential Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining ARMOUR Residential's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare ARMOUR Residential value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across ARMOUR Residential competition to find correlations between indicators driving ARMOUR Residential's intrinsic value. More Info.
ARMOUR Residential REIT is number one stock in price to earning category among related companies. It is rated second in price to book category among related companies fabricating about  0.45  of Price To Book per Price To Earning. The ratio of Price To Earning to Price To Book for ARMOUR Residential REIT is roughly  2.22 . As of 04/25/2024, Price To Book Ratio is likely to drop to 0.62. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value ARMOUR Residential by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for ARMOUR Residential's Stock. Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the ARMOUR Residential's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates ARMOUR Residential's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in ARMOUR Residential and how it compares across the competition.

About ARMOUR Residential Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines the current worth of ARMOUR Residential REIT on a weekly basis. We use both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of ARMOUR Residential REIT. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of ARMOUR Residential REIT based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing ARMOUR Residential's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and its related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of ARMOUR Residential's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of ARMOUR Residential. We calculate exposure to ARMOUR Residential's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ARMOUR Residential's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit418.1 M439 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.15)(0.14)
Operating Profit Margin 1.02  1.17 
Net Loss(0.15)(0.14)
Gross Profit Margin 0.93  0.98 

8 Steps to conduct ARMOUR Residential's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates ARMOUR Residential's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct ARMOUR Residential's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain ARMOUR Residential's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine ARMOUR Residential's revenue streams: Identify ARMOUR Residential's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research ARMOUR Residential's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish ARMOUR Residential's growth potential: Evaluate ARMOUR Residential's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine ARMOUR Residential's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate ARMOUR Residential's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.
ARMOUR Residential's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether ARMOUR Residential's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of ARMOUR Residential can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of ARMOUR Residential represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of ARMOUR, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

ARMOUR Residential Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, ARMOUR Residential's Dividend Yield is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/25/2024, Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is likely to grow to 0.61, while Dividends Paid is likely to drop slightly above 157.7 M. . As of 04/25/2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 0.15, though Retained Earnings are likely to grow to (2.9 B).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid228.2 M157.7 M
Dividend Yield 0.27  0.29 
Dividend Payout Ratio(3.36)(3.19)
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.58  0.61 
There are various types of dividends ARMOUR Residential can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of ARMOUR shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from ARMOUR Residential REIT directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When ARMOUR pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of ARMOUR Residential by the value of the dividends paid out.

ARMOUR Residential Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines. Note, investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as ARMOUR Residential does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.571
Forward Price Earnings4.0667

ARMOUR Residential Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of ARMOUR Residential REIT and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value ARMOUR we look at many different elements of the entity such as ARMOUR's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation. ARMOUR Residential's valuation analysis is also a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final ARMOUR Residential's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as ARMOUR Residential, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use ARMOUR Residential's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes ARMOUR Residential's worth.
When determining whether ARMOUR Residential REIT is a strong investment it is important to analyze ARMOUR Residential's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ARMOUR Residential's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ARMOUR Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ARMOUR Residential REIT. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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When running ARMOUR Residential's price analysis, check to measure ARMOUR Residential's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ARMOUR Residential is operating at the current time. Most of ARMOUR Residential's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ARMOUR Residential's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ARMOUR Residential's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ARMOUR Residential to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ARMOUR Residential's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ARMOUR Residential. If investors know ARMOUR will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ARMOUR Residential listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.571
Dividend Share
5
Earnings Share
(1.86)
Revenue Per Share
(0.57)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.261
The market value of ARMOUR Residential REIT is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ARMOUR that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ARMOUR Residential's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ARMOUR Residential's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ARMOUR Residential's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ARMOUR Residential's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ARMOUR Residential's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ARMOUR Residential is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ARMOUR Residential's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.