AvalonBay Communities Valuation

AVB Stock  USD 191.34  2.68  1.42%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. AvalonBay Communities shows a prevailing Real Value of $162.25 per share. The current price of the firm is $191.34. Our model approximates the value of AvalonBay Communities from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of 0.0806, and Profit Margin of 0.33 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, most investors favor taking in undervalued instruments and trading overvalued instruments since, at some point, asset prices and their ongoing real values will blend. Key fundamental drivers impacting AvalonBay Communities' valuation include:
Price Book
2.2176
Enterprise Value
34.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
17.2658
Price Sales
9.3949
Forward PE
37.4532
Overvalued
Today
191.34
Please note that AvalonBay Communities' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of AvalonBay Communities is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing AvalonBay Communities' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for AvalonBay Communities is useful when determining the fair value of the AvalonBay stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of AvalonBay Communities. Since AvalonBay Communities is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of AvalonBay Stock. However, AvalonBay Communities' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  191.34 Real  162.25 Target  197.05 Hype  188.66 Naive  189.25
The real value of AvalonBay Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of AvalonBay Communities Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on AvalonBay Communities' financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of AvalonBay Communities' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence AvalonBay Communities' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
161.00
Downside
162.25
Real Value
207.53
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of AvalonBay Communities helps investors to forecast how AvalonBay stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of AvalonBay Communities more accurately as focusing exclusively on AvalonBay Communities' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
1.101.171.26
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
187.41188.66189.91
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
4.234.364.48
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
179.32197.05218.73
Details
Traditionally analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use AvalonBay Communities' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of AvalonBay Communities' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against AvalonBay Communities' closest peers. When choosing an evaluation method for AvalonBay Communities, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

AvalonBay Communities Investments

(755.05 Million)

AvalonBay Valuation Trend

Knowing AvalonBay Communities' actual value is paramount for traders to make sound investment determinations. AvalonBay Communities' real value is not only important for the investor to make better decisions but also for a more accurate overall view of AvalonBay Communities' financial worth over time since having this information enables investors and analysts to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both AvalonBay Communities' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing descisions.

AvalonBay Market Cap

AvalonBay Communities is number one stock in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Real Estate industry is presently estimated at about 107.58 Billion. AvalonBay Communities totals roughly 26.82 Billion in market capitalization claiming about 25% of equities listed under Real Estate industry.
Capitalization  Revenue  Total debt  Valuation  Workforce

AvalonBay Communities Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining AvalonBay Communities's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare AvalonBay Communities value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across AvalonBay Communities competition to find correlations between indicators driving AvalonBay Communities's intrinsic value. More Info.
AvalonBay Communities is rated below average in price to earning category among related companies. It is rated fourth in price to book category among related companies fabricating about  0.11  of Price To Book per Price To Earning. The ratio of Price To Earning to Price To Book for AvalonBay Communities is roughly  8.71 . As of April 24, 2024, Price To Book Ratio is expected to decline to 1.61. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value AvalonBay Communities by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for AvalonBay Communities' Stock. Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the AvalonBay Communities' earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates AvalonBay Communities' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in AvalonBay Communities and how it compares across the competition.

About AvalonBay Communities Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines the current worth of AvalonBay Communities on a weekly basis. We use both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of AvalonBay Communities. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of AvalonBay Communities based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing AvalonBay Communities's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and its related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of AvalonBay Communities's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of AvalonBay Communities. We calculate exposure to AvalonBay Communities's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AvalonBay Communities's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross ProfitB878.8 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.33  0.28 
Operating Profit Margin 0.31  0.45 
Net Profit Margin 0.33  0.29 
Gross Profit Margin 0.36  0.70 

8 Steps to conduct AvalonBay Communities' Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates AvalonBay Communities' potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct AvalonBay Communities' valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain AvalonBay Communities' financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine AvalonBay Communities' revenue streams: Identify AvalonBay Communities' primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research AvalonBay Communities' industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish AvalonBay Communities' growth potential: Evaluate AvalonBay Communities' management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine AvalonBay Communities' financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate AvalonBay Communities' estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.
AvalonBay Communities' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether AvalonBay Communities' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of AvalonBay Communities can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of AvalonBay Communities represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of AvalonBay, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

AvalonBay Communities Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The current year's Dividends Paid is expected to grow to about 968.8 M. The current year's Dividend Yield is expected to grow to 0.05. At present, AvalonBay Communities' Retained Earnings are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Retained Earnings Total Equity is expected to grow to about 585.9 M, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 21.26.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid922.7 M968.8 M
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.05 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.99  1.12 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 2.16  2.27 
There are various types of dividends AvalonBay Communities can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of AvalonBay shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from AvalonBay Communities directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When AvalonBay pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of AvalonBay Communities by the value of the dividends paid out.

AvalonBay Communities Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines. Note, investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as AvalonBay Communities does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding141.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.012
Forward Price Earnings37.4532

AvalonBay Communities Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of AvalonBay Communities and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value AvalonBay we look at many different elements of the entity such as AvalonBay's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation. AvalonBay Communities' valuation analysis is also a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final AvalonBay Communities' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as AvalonBay Communities, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use AvalonBay Communities' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes AvalonBay Communities' worth.
When determining whether AvalonBay Communities offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AvalonBay Communities' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Avalonbay Communities Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Avalonbay Communities Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AvalonBay Communities. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For information on how to trade AvalonBay Stock refer to our How to Trade AvalonBay Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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When running AvalonBay Communities' price analysis, check to measure AvalonBay Communities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AvalonBay Communities is operating at the current time. Most of AvalonBay Communities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AvalonBay Communities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AvalonBay Communities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AvalonBay Communities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AvalonBay Communities' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AvalonBay Communities. If investors know AvalonBay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AvalonBay Communities listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
Earnings Share
6.57
Revenue Per Share
19.683
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.107
Return On Assets
0.0273
The market value of AvalonBay Communities is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AvalonBay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AvalonBay Communities' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AvalonBay Communities' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AvalonBay Communities' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AvalonBay Communities' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AvalonBay Communities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AvalonBay Communities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AvalonBay Communities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.