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Astrazeneca PLC Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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AZN -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: March 31, 2020  

Astrazeneca PLC Accrued Expenses Turnover is quite stable at the moment as compared to the last year. The company current value of Accrued Expenses Turnover is estimated at about 7.77. Return on Investment is projected to rize to 16.83 this year, although the value of Calculated Tax Rate will most likelly fall to (3.19) . We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Astrazeneca PLC which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using Astrazeneca PLC hype-based prediction you can estimate the value of Astrazeneca PLC from the prospective of Astrazeneca PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Astrazeneca PLC over a specific investment horizon. Please continue to Astrazeneca PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Astrazeneca PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Astrazeneca PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
50.17
February 24, 2020
50.18
After-hype Price
54.05
Upside
Astrazeneca PLC is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Astrazeneca PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Astrazeneca PLC Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.05  1.29  0.01   0.02  10 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
50.1750.180.02 
1,290  

Astrazeneca PLC Hype Timeline

On the 24th of February Astrazeneca PLC is traded for 50.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Astrazeneca PLC is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 50.18. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1290.0%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.02% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Astrazeneca PLC is about 310.84% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 50.19. The company reported last year revenue of 24.14 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.06 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 17.59 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Please continue to Astrazeneca PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Astrazeneca PLC Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Allergan Plc(0.58) 7 per month 0.40  0.10  0.96 (0.63)  3.57 
Astrazeneca PLC 0.10 10 per month 0.98  0.0246  1.96 (1.38)  6.66 
Bristol Myers Squibb Company 0.01 8 per month 0.86  0.16  2.22 (1.35)  6.54 
GlaxoSmithKline PLC(0.16) 11 per month 0.00 (0.10)  1.43 (1.59)  6.31 
Johnson Johnson 0.75 10 per month 0.11  0.18  1.25 (0.68)  2.78 
Eli Lilly And Company 2.57 9 per month 0.38  0.27  2.02 (1.31)  5.44 
Merck Company 1.00 11 per month 0.00 (0.09)  1.77 (2.35)  5.09 
Novartis AG(0.17) 10 per month 0.50  0.08  1.09 (1.11)  3.43 
Pfizer 0.75 8 per month 0.00 (0.1)  1.56 (1.62)  7.14 
Gilead Sciences(0.12) 7 per month 0.96  0.0439  3.00 (1.78)  7.33 
Please continue to Astrazeneca PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
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