Natus Medical Price Prediction

Natus Medical Incorporated -- USA Stock  

USD 39.8  0.15  0.38%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Natus Medical headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Natus Medical Incorporated brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Natus Medical hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Natus Medical Incorporated from the prospective of Natus Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Natus Medical over a specific investment horizon. Check also Natus Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Natus Medical estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 19, 2017
39.8
Current Value
Downside upside
39.77
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
43.19
Upside
Upside upside
Natus Medical is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Natus Medical Incorp is based on 1 month time horizon.

Natus Medical Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.63% 1.13% 0.13%  0.12% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
39.839.770.3%
565% 

Natus Medical Hype Timeline

Natus Medical Incorporated is currently traded for 39.8 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.13 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Natus Medical Incorporated is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 39.77. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 565.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.3% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.63%. The volatility of related hype on Natus Medical is about 600.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 39.92. The company reported previous year revenue of 445.49 M. Net Income was 18.86 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 234.93 M. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check also Natus Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Natus Medical Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation 0.9 1 per month 1 (0.14) (0.74)  1.41 (1.6)  3.61 
EndoChoice Holdings Inc 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.005)  0.00  0.00 (50)  150 
Vascular Solutions Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (1.03)  0.00  0.18 (0.09)  0.62 
Vaso Corporation 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.0127)  0.00  0.00  0.00  14.29 
Digirad Corporation(0.05) 1 per month 0.00 (0.28)  0.00  3.03 (7.69)  23.73 
DarioHealth Corp 0.28 1 per month 1.83  0.19 (4.68)  6.04 (3.11)  10.65