Saranacentral Bajatama (Indonesia) Volatility

BAJA Stock  IDR 105.00  6.00  5.41%   
Saranacentral Bajatama owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.015, which indicates the firm had a -0.015% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Saranacentral Bajatama's Coefficient Of Variation of (3,531), variance of 38.28, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Saranacentral Bajatama's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
720 Days Economic Sensitivity
Saranacentral Bajatama Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Saranacentral daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Saranacentral's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Saranacentral Bajatama volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Saranacentral Bajatama can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Saranacentral Bajatama at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Saranacentral stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Saranacentral Bajatama's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Saranacentral Stock

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Moving against Saranacentral Stock

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Saranacentral Bajatama Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Saranacentral Bajatama's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Saranacentral stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Saranacentral stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Saranacentral Bajatama's beta of -1.5 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Saranacentral Bajatama stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Saranacentral Bajatama's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Saranacentral Bajatama's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Saranacentral Bajatama Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Saranacentral Bajatama correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Saranacentral Beta

    
  -1.5  
Saranacentral standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  6.88  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Saranacentral Bajatama's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Saranacentral Bajatama's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in saranacentral stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Saranacentral Bajatama.

Saranacentral Bajatama Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Saranacentral Bajatama stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Saranacentral Bajatama's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Saranacentral Bajatama's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Saranacentral Bajatama's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Saranacentral Bajatama's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Saranacentral Bajatama's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Saranacentral Bajatama's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Saranacentral Bajatama's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Saranacentral Bajatama Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Saranacentral Bajatama Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk has a beta of -1.4958 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Saranacentral Bajatama is expected to outperform its benchmark.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Saranacentral Bajatama or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Saranacentral Bajatama's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Saranacentral stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Saranacentral Bajatama's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how saranacentral stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Saranacentral Bajatama Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Saranacentral Bajatama Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Saranacentral Bajatama is -6679.4. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 47.32 and standard deviation of 6.88. The mean deviation of Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk is currently at 3.08. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-1.5
σ
Overall volatility
6.88
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Saranacentral Bajatama Stock Return Volatility

Saranacentral Bajatama historical daily return volatility represents how much of Saranacentral Bajatama stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 6.8792% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6321% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Saranacentral Bajatama Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Saranacentral Bajatama or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Saranacentral Bajatama may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Saranacentral's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Saranacentral Bajatama and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Saranacentral Bajatama fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.

3 ways to utilize Saranacentral Bajatama's volatility to invest better

Higher Saranacentral Bajatama's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Saranacentral Bajatama stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Saranacentral Bajatama stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Saranacentral Bajatama investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Saranacentral Bajatama's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Saranacentral Bajatama's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Saranacentral Bajatama Investment Opportunity

Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk has a volatility of 6.88 and is 10.92 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 60 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Saranacentral Bajatama. You can use Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Saranacentral Bajatama to be traded at 99.75 in 90 days.

Good diversification

The correlation between Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk and NYA is -0.15 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Saranacentral Bajatama Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Saranacentral Bajatama's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Saranacentral Bajatama's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Saranacentral Bajatama stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Saranacentral Bajatama Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Saranacentral Bajatama as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Saranacentral Bajatama's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Saranacentral Bajatama's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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When running Saranacentral Bajatama's price analysis, check to measure Saranacentral Bajatama's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saranacentral Bajatama is operating at the current time. Most of Saranacentral Bajatama's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saranacentral Bajatama's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saranacentral Bajatama's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saranacentral Bajatama to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Saranacentral Bajatama's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Saranacentral Bajatama is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Saranacentral Bajatama's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.