Virtus LifeSci Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BBP -- USA Etf  

USD 37.45  0.31  0.82%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Virtus LifeSci Biotech Products ETF which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Virtus LifeSci hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Virtus LifeSci Biotech Products ETF from the prospective of Virtus LifeSci response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Virtus LifeSci over a specific investment horizon. Check also Virtus LifeSci Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Virtus LifeSci After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Virtus LifeSci Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 12, 2018
37.45
Current Value
37.70
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
46.16
Upside
Virtus LifeSci is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Virtus LifeSci Biotech is based on 2 months time horizon.

Virtus LifeSci Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.13% 2.82% 0.25%  0.05% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.4537.700.67%
149.53% 

Virtus LifeSci Hype Timeline

On 12 of December Virtus LifeSci Biotech Products ETF is traded for 37.45. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.25 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Virtus LifeSci Biotech Products ETF is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 37.7. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 149.53%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.67% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Virtus LifeSci is about 693.68% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 37.5. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check also Virtus LifeSci Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Virtus LifeSci Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF 2.48 1 per month 0.00 (0.031)  2.71 (3.30)  9.99 
First Trust Health Care AlphaDEX ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0171  3.25 (3.37)  7.84 
ARK Genomic Revolution Multi Sector ETF 0.21 1 per month 0.00  0.0221  3.93 (5.32)  11.27 
VanEck Vectors Pharmaceutical ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0113  1.61 (1.78)  6.54 
PowerShares Dynamic Biotech Genome ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0164  3.34 (4.62)  10.28 
ALPS Medical Breakthroughs ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.026)  3.69 (4.34)  11.81 
JHancock Multifactor Health Care ETF 0.31 1 per month 0.00  0.09  2.31 (1.88)  5.68 
Principal Healthcare Innovators ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  2.79 (4.24)  9.27 
Virtus LifeSci Biotech Products ETF 1.89 1 per month 0.00 (0.0193)  4.28 (4.77)  11.62 
Walmart(0.82) 7 per month 0.00  0.11  2.52 (2.09)  5.60 

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Check also Virtus LifeSci Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
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