Banco Bilbao Viscaya Stock Price Prediction
| BBVA Stock | USD 10.79 0.17 1.55% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
68
Oversold | Overbought |
Banco Bilbao Viscaya stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Banco Bilbao shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Banco Bilbao's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Banco Bilbao and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Banco Bilbao's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Banco Bilbao Viscaya, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Banco Bilbao's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.334 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.48 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.53 | Wall Street Target Price 8.75 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.37 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Banco Bilbao based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Banco stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Banco Bilbao over a specific investment horizon. Using Banco Bilbao hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Banco Bilbao Viscaya from the perspective of Banco Bilbao response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Banco Bilbao using Banco Bilbao's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Banco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Banco Bilbao's stock price.
Banco Bilbao Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Banco Bilbao's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Banco Bilbao Viscaya stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Banco Bilbao's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Banco Bilbao stock will not fluctuate a lot when Banco Bilbao's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Banco Bilbao. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Banco Bilbao to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Banco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Banco Bilbao after-hype prediction price | USD 10.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Banco |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Banco Bilbao's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Banco Bilbao After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Banco Bilbao at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Banco Bilbao or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Banco Bilbao, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Banco Bilbao Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Banco Bilbao's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Banco Bilbao's historical news coverage. Banco Bilbao's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.36 and 12.40, respectively. We have considered Banco Bilbao's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Banco Bilbao is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Banco Bilbao Viscaya is based on 3 months time horizon.
Banco Bilbao Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Banco Bilbao is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Banco Bilbao backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Banco Bilbao, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 1.54 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.79 | 10.88 | 0.73 |
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Banco Bilbao Hype Timeline
Banco Bilbao Viscaya is currently traded for 10.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Banco is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.73%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Banco Bilbao is about 1554.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.75. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.09. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Banco Bilbao Viscaya has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.49. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of April 2024. The firm had 60:59 split on the 29th of March 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Banco Bilbao Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Banco Bilbao Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Banco Bilbao's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Banco Bilbao's future price movements. Getting to know how Banco Bilbao's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Banco Bilbao may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BCS | Barclays PLC ADR | (0.02) | 11 per month | 1.21 | 0.18 | 2.33 | (2.40) | 14.41 | |
| ING | ING Group NV | (0.09) | 10 per month | 1.57 | 0.12 | 2.24 | (1.44) | 7.82 | |
| BCDRF | Banco Santander SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.52 | 0.07 | 8.46 | (6.01) | 20.57 | |
| HSBC | HSBC Holdings PLC | 0.01 | 9 per month | 1.87 | 0.06 | 1.79 | (1.79) | 10.56 | |
| NWG | Natwest Group PLC | 0.01 | 12 per month | 0.82 | 0.25 | 2.82 | (1.74) | 9.53 | |
| SAN | Banco Santander SA | (0.02) | 9 per month | 1.73 | 0.08 | 2.41 | (2.27) | 8.70 | |
| UBS | UBS Group AG | (0.44) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.98 | (2.17) | 7.87 | |
| C | Citigroup | (0.09) | 8 per month | 1.06 | 0.1 | 2.28 | (1.88) | 8.13 | |
| RY | Royal Bank of | (0.52) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.35 | (1.68) | 4.60 | |
| MUFG | Mitsubishi UFJ Financial | 0.05 | 8 per month | 1.39 | 0.07 | 2.08 | (2.22) | 9.77 | |
| SMFG | Sumitomo Mitsui Financial | 0.02 | 9 per month | 1.29 | 0.09 | 2.53 | (2.59) | 8.15 |
Banco Bilbao Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Banco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Banco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Banco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Banco Bilbao Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Banco Bilbao stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Banco Bilbao Viscaya, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Banco Bilbao based on analysis of Banco Bilbao hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Banco Bilbao's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Banco Bilbao's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0279 | 0.0627 | 0.0567 | 0.0538 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.84 | 1.63 | 1.68 | 2.63 |
Story Coverage note for Banco Bilbao
The number of cover stories for Banco Bilbao depends on current market conditions and Banco Bilbao's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Banco Bilbao is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Banco Bilbao's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Banco Bilbao Short Properties
Banco Bilbao's future price predictability will typically decrease when Banco Bilbao's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Banco Bilbao Viscaya often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Banco Bilbao's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Bilbao's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 162.2 B |
Check out Banco Bilbao Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Banco Stock analysis
When running Banco Bilbao's price analysis, check to measure Banco Bilbao's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banco Bilbao is operating at the current time. Most of Banco Bilbao's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banco Bilbao's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banco Bilbao's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banco Bilbao to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Banco Bilbao's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Banco Bilbao. If investors know Banco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Banco Bilbao listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.334 | Dividend Share 0.55 | Earnings Share 1.37 | Revenue Per Share 4.562 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.117 |
The market value of Banco Bilbao Viscaya is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Banco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Banco Bilbao's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Banco Bilbao's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Banco Bilbao's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Banco Bilbao's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Banco Bilbao's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Banco Bilbao is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Banco Bilbao's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.