Best Buy Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BBY -- USA Stock  

USD 79.38  0.90  1.15%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Best Buy Co which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Best Buy hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Best Buy Co from the prospective of Best Buy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Best Buy over a specific investment horizon. Check also Best Buy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Best Buy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Best Buy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 21, 2018
79.38
Current Value
79.49
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
83.33
Upside
Best Buy is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Best Buy Co is based on 1 month time horizon.

Best Buy Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.18% 1.28% 0.11%  0.06% 4 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
79.3879.490.14%
206.45% 

Best Buy Hype Timeline

On 21 of August Best Buy Co is traded for 79.38. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.11 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Best Buy Co is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 79.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 206.45%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.14% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Best Buy is about 386.71% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 79.44. The company reported last year revenue of 42.73 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.02 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 9.88 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days.
Check also Best Buy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Best Buy Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Macys 0.55 4 per month 0.00 (0.13)  2.08 (4.51)  20.29 
Dollar General Corporation(0.36) 6 per month 0.47  0.33  2.28 (1.53)  3.49 
The Home Depot(2.07) 6 per month 0.00 (0.27)  0.72 (1.10)  1.80 
Dollar Tree 1.53 5 per month 0.54  0.33  2.30 (1.38)  3.83 
Vipshop Holdings Limited 0.07 5 per month 0.00 (0.33)  1.81 (6.09)  18.01 
Aarons 1.62 4 per month 4.13  0.08  4.11 (3.52)  23.26 
Best Buy Co 0.62 4 per month 1.30  0.11  1.89 (2.08)  4.63 
Big Lots 0.25 3 per month 0.00  0.35  2.60 (1.85)  5.86 
Barnes Noble 0.05 3 per month 1.47  0.19  2.65 (2.48)  5.95 
Fossil Group 1.05 5 per month 0.00 (0.06)  5.49 (10.19)  17.14 

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Check also Best Buy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Chance of Distress module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.