ETFS Bloomberg Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BCD -- USA Etf  

USD 24.74  0.44  1.81%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ETFS Bloomberg All CmdtyLngrDtdStrtK 1Fr which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With ETFS Bloomberg hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of ETFS Bloomberg All CmdtyLngrDtdStrtK 1Fr from the prospective of ETFS Bloomberg response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ETFS Bloomberg over a specific investment horizon. Check also ETFS Bloomberg Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

ETFS Bloomberg After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

ETFS Bloomberg Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 10, 2018
24.74
Current Value
24.74
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
26.81
Upside
ETFS Bloomberg is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ETFS Bloomberg All is based on 2 months time horizon.

ETFS Bloomberg Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.10% 0.69% 0.00%  0.03% 2 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
24.7424.740.00%
0.00% 

ETFS Bloomberg Hype Timeline

On 10 of December ETFS Bloomberg All CmdtyLngrDtdStrtK 1Fr is traded for 24.74. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. ETFS Bloomberg All CmdtyLngrDtdStrtK 1Fr is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at -0.1%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to ETFS Bloomberg is about 244.68%%. The volatility of related hype on ETFS Bloomberg is about 244.68% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 24.77. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check also ETFS Bloomberg Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ETFS Bloomberg Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PowerShares DB Commodity Tracking ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13)  1.16 (2.92)  5.23 
USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0095  0.77 (1.09)  4.88 
UBS ETRACS BgCstMtCdyTtlRetETNSerB 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
General Electric Company 0.59 8 per month 0.00 (0.31)  4.13 (6.79)  16.29 
HP 0.17 8 per month 0.00 (0.0466)  3.17 (4.04)  8.18 
The Home Depot(2.33) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0423)  2.60 (3.54)  6.64 
Chevron Corporation 3.29 8 per month 0.00  0.0095  2.54 (3.33)  7.05 
Microsoft Corporation 0.90 6 per month 0.00  0.0307  3.71 (4.00)  9.23 
Intel Corporation(0.76) 8 per month 0.00  0.06  3.38 (4.51)  9.95 
JPMorgan Chase Co 0.96 5 per month 0.00 (0.0311)  2.14 (3.00)  7.02 

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