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Banco risk analysis

 
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Banco de Chile

Stock@New York Stock Exchange 
United States USD
     
Use Banco de Chile risk analysis together with your stock portfolios to enhance returns of your portfolios and to determine Stock optimization strategy that fits your criteria.  Suggest Portfolio
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Considering 30-days investment horizon, the stock has beta cooficient of 1.37 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Banco will likely underperform. In addition to that, Banco de Chile has alpha of 1.37 implying that it can potentially generate 1.37% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
S&P 500   Banco   
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the coefficient of variation of Banco is -837.09. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 2.01 and standard deviation of 1.42. The mean deviation of Banco de Chile is currently at 1.09. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.58
alpha for Banco de Chile(alpha)= 1.37 
beta for Banco de Chile(beta) = 1.37 
volatility for Banco de Chile(volatility) = 1.42 

Actual Return Volatility

Banco de Chile has volatility of 1.42% on return distribution over 30 days investment horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.58% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
May 22 2013
 88.81 
  
 88.70 
(0.11)  Macroaxis: -0.12385992568404394 Down   0.12%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 06 2013
 94.88 
  
 95.27 
0.39  Macroaxis: 0.41104553119730247 Up   0.41%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Banco de Chile has a volatility of 1.42 and is 2.45 times more volatile than S&P 500. 18% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Banco. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Banco de Chile is lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Banco de Chile to enhance returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences moderate upward volatility. As market goes up, the company is expected to significantly outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Banco will likely underperform.

Banco correlation with market

Very weak diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Banco de Chile and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Banco Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance(0.06)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.12)
Mean Deviation1.09
Semi-Deviation1.69
Downside Deviation1.63
Coefficient Of Variation(837)
Standard Deviation1.42

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