iPath Pure Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BCM -- USA Etf  

USD 29.53  0.0471  0.16%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iPath Pure Beta Broad Commodity ETN which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With iPath Pure hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of iPath Pure Beta Broad Commodity ETN from the prospective of iPath Pure response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on iPath Pure over a specific investment horizon. Check also iPath Pure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

iPath Pure After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

iPath Pure Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 23, 2018
29.53
Current Value
29.52
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
32.25
Upside
iPath Pure is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iPath Pure Beta is based on 1 month time horizon.

iPath Pure Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.02% 0.91% 0.01%  0.02% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.5329.520.03%
266.94% 

iPath Pure Hype Timeline

On 23 of October iPath Pure Beta Broad Commodity ETN is traded for 29.53. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. iPath Pure Beta Broad Commodity ETN is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 29.52. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 266.94%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.03% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on iPath Pure is about 80.46% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 29.51. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check also iPath Pure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

iPath Pure Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ELEMENTS Rogers Intl Cmdty TR ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.67  0.34  0.90 (0.89)  3.18 
Barclays Bank PLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.66  4.13 (1.38)  7.55 
GraniteShares SPGSCI CmdtyBrdStrNoK1ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  1.46 (2.06)  4.37 
USCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.16  0.68 (1.25)  2.60 
Credit Suisse X Links Gold Cov Call ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.67  0.24  1.92 (1.06)  3.13 
SPDR Gold Minishares Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.45  1.09 (0.67)  2.93 
The Home Depot(5.41) 5 per month 0.00 (0.38)  1.26 (2.55)  6.64 
International Business Machines Corporation(7.34) 5 per month 0.00 (0.19)  2.83 (4.64)  11.90 
Alcoa Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.56  1.69  0.00  3.20 
Walmart 1.44 3 per month 0.92  0.21  2.12 (1.36)  4.04 

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