iPath Pure Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BCM -- USA Etf  

USD 27.05  0.15  0.57%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iPath Pure Beta Broad Commodity ETN which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With iPath Pure hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of iPath Pure Beta Broad Commodity ETN from the prospective of iPath Pure response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on iPath Pure over a specific investment horizon. Check also iPath Pure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

iPath Pure After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

iPath Pure Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 14, 2018
27.05
Current Value
27.07
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
29.80
Upside
iPath Pure is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iPath Pure Beta is based on 2 months time horizon.

iPath Pure Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.22% 0.91% 0.02%  0.00% 1 Events / Month0 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.0527.070.07%
1,188% 

iPath Pure Hype Timeline

On 14 of December iPath Pure Beta Broad Commodity ETN is traded for 27.05. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. iPath Pure Beta Broad Commodity ETN is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 27.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1187.99%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.07% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.22%. The volatility of related hype on iPath Pure is about 18200.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 27.05. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check also iPath Pure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

iPath Pure Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PowerShares DB Commodity Tracking ETF(0.08) 1 per month 0.00 (0.21)  1.29 (2.92)  5.23 
iShares SP GSCI Commodity Indexed Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.22)  1.82 (3.13)  5.99 
iPath Bloomberg Cmdty TR ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0444)  1.82 (1.57)  6.63 
ELEMENTS Rogers Intl Cmdty TR ETN 0.03 1 per month 0.00 (0.12)  1.35 (1.71)  4.90 
First Trust Global Tact Cmdty Strat ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1)  1.32 (1.20)  4.03 
ETFS Bloomberg All Commodity Strt K 1 Fr 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.004  1.62 (1.49)  5.97 
GS Connect SP GSCI Enh Commodity TR ETN 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.08)  11.78 (12.88)  33.92 
UBS ETRACS CMCI Total Return ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13)  0.98 (1.70)  3.46 
GraniteShares Blmbrg CmdtyBrdStr NoK1ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07)  1.48 (1.86)  5.29 
iPath SP GSCI Total Return ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.23)  2.28 (3.80)  7.48 

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Check also iPath Pure Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
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