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Belk risk analysis

 
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Belk Inc

Stock@OTC Bulletin Board 
United States 
     
Use Belk Inc risk analysis together with your otc equity portfolios to protect against small markets fluctuations and to determine OTC Equity optimization strategy that fits your criteria.  Suggest Portfolio
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Belk has beta of 0.02 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Belk avarage returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Belk Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover, Belk Inc has alpha of 0.02 implying that it can potentially generate 0.02% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
S&P 500   Belk   
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of Belk is 650.41. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 0.12 and standard deviation of 0.35. The mean deviation of Belk Inc is currently at 0.14. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.57
alpha for Belk Inc(alpha)= 0.02 
beta for Belk Inc(beta) = 0.02 
volatility for Belk Inc(volatility) = 0.35 

Actual Return Volatility

Belk Inc accepts 0.35% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.57% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
April 24 2013
 47.90 
  
 49.00 
1.10  Macroaxis: 2.2964509394572055 Up   2.30%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 07 2013
 49.75 
  
 49.75 
0.00  No Change   0.00%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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S&P 500 has a standard deviation of returns of 0.57 and is 1.63 times more volatile than Belk Inc. 4% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Belk. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Belk Inc is lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Belk Inc to protect against small markets fluctuations. The otc equity experiences no pattern. Wait for more market signals and watch out for any hype. As returns on market increase, Belk returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding Belk will be expected to be smaller as well.

Belk correlation with market

Significant diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Belk Inc. and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Belk Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.0819
Market Risk Adjusted Performance2.2
Mean Deviation0.1407
Semi-Deviation0.0
Downside Deviation0.0
Coefficient Of Variation650.41
Standard Deviation0.3495

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