Boc Hong Kong Stock Price Prediction

BNKHF Stock  USD 2.91  0.11  3.93%   
As of 25th of April 2024 The relative strength index (RSI) of BOC Hong's share price is above 80 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

85

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
BOC Hong Kong stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of BOC Hong shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of BOC Hong's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of BOC Hong and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from BOC Hong's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BOC Hong Kong, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of BOC Hong based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The BOC stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on BOC Hong over a specific investment horizon. Using BOC Hong hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BOC Hong Kong from the perspective of BOC Hong response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in BOC Hong. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BOC Hong to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BOC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

BOC Hong after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out BOC Hong Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BOC Hong's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.003.255.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.773.015.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.912.912.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BOC Hong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BOC Hong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BOC Hong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BOC Hong Kong.

BOC Hong After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BOC Hong at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BOC Hong or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of BOC Hong, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BOC Hong Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BOC Hong's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BOC Hong's historical news coverage. BOC Hong's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.66 and 5.16, respectively. We have considered BOC Hong's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.91
2.91
After-hype Price
5.16
Upside
BOC Hong is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BOC Hong Kong is based on 3 months time horizon.

BOC Hong Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BOC Hong is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BOC Hong backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BOC Hong, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
2.25
 0.00  
  0.05 
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.91
2.91
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

BOC Hong Hype Timeline

BOC Hong Kong is currently traded for 2.91. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.05. BOC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on BOC Hong is about 1273.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.86. About 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.83. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BOC Hong Kong has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.66. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out BOC Hong Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

BOC Hong Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BOC Hong's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BOC Hong's future price movements. Getting to know how BOC Hong's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BOC Hong may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

BOC Hong Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BOC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BOC using various technical indicators. When you analyze BOC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About BOC Hong Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of BOC Hong stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BOC Hong Kong, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BOC Hong based on analysis of BOC Hong hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BOC Hong's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BOC Hong's related companies.

Story Coverage note for BOC Hong

The number of cover stories for BOC Hong depends on current market conditions and BOC Hong's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BOC Hong is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BOC Hong's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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BOC Hong Short Properties

BOC Hong's future price predictability will typically decrease when BOC Hong's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BOC Hong Kong often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BOC Hong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BOC Hong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.6 B
Check out BOC Hong Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the BOC Hong Kong information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BOC Hong's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

Complementary Tools for BOC Pink Sheet analysis

When running BOC Hong's price analysis, check to measure BOC Hong's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BOC Hong is operating at the current time. Most of BOC Hong's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BOC Hong's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BOC Hong's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BOC Hong to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between BOC Hong's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BOC Hong is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BOC Hong's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.