Bank Permata (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| BNLI Stock | IDR 940.00 5.00 0.53% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Bank Permata Tbk stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bank Permata shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bank Permata's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bank Permata and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bank Permata's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bank Permata Tbk, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bank Permata based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bank stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bank Permata over a specific investment horizon. Using Bank Permata hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank Permata Tbk from the perspective of Bank Permata response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bank Permata. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bank Permata to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bank Permata after-hype prediction price | IDR 945.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bank |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank Permata's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bank Permata After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bank Permata at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank Permata or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bank Permata, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bank Permata Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bank Permata's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank Permata's historical news coverage. Bank Permata's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 944.19 and 945.81, respectively. We have considered Bank Permata's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bank Permata is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank Permata Tbk is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bank Permata Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank Permata is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank Permata backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank Permata, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
940.00 | 945.00 | 0.00 |
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Bank Permata Hype Timeline
Bank Permata Tbk is currently traded for 940.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bank is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bank Permata is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 940.00. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.01. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bank Permata Tbk recorded earning per share (EPS) of 73.0. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Bank Permata Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bank Permata Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bank Permata's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank Permata's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank Permata's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank Permata may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BNGA | Bank Cimb Niaga | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.36 | 0.09 | 2.93 | (2.80) | 11.11 | |
| BNII | Bank Maybank Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.01 | 0 | 2.36 | (1.64) | 6.75 | |
| BDMN | Bank Danamon Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | (0.05) | 1.46 | (1.79) | 4.53 | |
| PNBN | Bank Pan Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.80 | (3.10) | 10.47 | |
| BBKP | Bank Bukopin Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 2.56 | (2.78) | 6.95 |
Bank Permata Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bank Permata Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bank Permata stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bank Permata Tbk, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bank Permata based on analysis of Bank Permata hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bank Permata's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bank Permata's related companies. Story Coverage note for Bank Permata
The number of cover stories for Bank Permata depends on current market conditions and Bank Permata's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank Permata is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank Permata's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Bank Permata Short Properties
Bank Permata's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank Permata's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank Permata Tbk often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank Permata's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Permata's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.2 B |
Check out Bank Permata Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Complementary Tools for Bank Stock analysis
When running Bank Permata's price analysis, check to measure Bank Permata's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank Permata is operating at the current time. Most of Bank Permata's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank Permata's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank Permata's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank Permata to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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