ProShares Ultra Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BOIL -- USA Etf  

USD 29.79  0.58  1.99%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With ProShares Ultra hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas from the prospective of ProShares Ultra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ProShares Ultra over a specific investment horizon. Check also ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

ProShares Ultra After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

ProShares Ultra Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 24, 2018
29.79
Current Value
29.68
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
38.68
Upside
ProShares Ultra is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProShares Ultra Bloo is based on 1 month time horizon.

ProShares Ultra Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.29% 3.00% 0.11%  0.01% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.7929.680.37%
769.23% 

ProShares Ultra Hype Timeline

ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas is currently traded for29.79. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.11 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 29.68. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 769.23%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.37% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on ProShares Ultra is about 7692.31% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 29.78. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check also ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ProShares Ultra Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VelocityShares 3x Long Gold ETN 0.00 0 per month 1.60 (0.0194)  2.50 (2.17)  7.92 
UBS ETRACS ProShares Dly 3x Lng Crud ETN 0.00 0 per month 2.57  0.06  8.46 (4.11)  14.64 
DB Agriculture Double Long ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.24)  1.82 (3.56)  7.32 
DB Base Metals Double Long ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  3.37 (5.15)  11.78 
Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.52 (0.17)  0.93 (0.86)  2.59 
JPMorgan Chase Co(1.14) 3 per month 0.59 (0.0494)  1.51 (1.18)  2.86 
Alcoa Corporation 0.64 3 per month 0.00 (0.28)  1.99 (4.02)  7.85 
E I du Pont de Nemours and Company 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Cisco Systems 0.12 5 per month 0.00  0.07  1.75 (0.86)  2.61 
ATT(0.01) 6 per month 0.34  0.0049  1.02 (0.84)  3.04 

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Check also ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
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