ProShares Ultra Price Prediction

ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas -- USA Etf  

USD 5.31  0.02  0.38%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring ProShares Ultra headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With ProShares Ultra hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas from the prospective of ProShares Ultra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ProShares Ultra over a specific investment horizon. Check also ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

ProShares Ultra Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
February 23, 2018
5.31
Current Value
Downside upside
5.25
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
17.34
Upside
Upside upside
ProShares Ultra is extremely risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProShares Ultra Bloo is based on 1 month time horizon.

ProShares Ultra Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 1.24% 4.03% 0.06%  0.39% 1 Events / Month0 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.315.251.13%
8,060% 

ProShares Ultra Hype Timeline

ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas is currently traded for5.31. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.39. ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 5.25. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 8060.0%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.13% where as daily expected return is currently at -1.24%. The volatility of related hype on ProShares Ultra is about 1293.05% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 5.7. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check also ProShares Ultra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ProShares Ultra Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ProShares Ultra Silver 1.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.004)  0.00  3.64 (3.34)  13.56 
DB Gold Double Long ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0714  0.00  1.92 (2.92)  6.94 
VelocityShares 3x Long Gold ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0374  0.00  3.65 (4.16)  9.41 
VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETNs linked to the SP GSCI Crude Oil Index ER 1.56 1 per month 0.00 (0.0293)  0.00  7.68 (6.69)  14.12 
ProShares Ultra Gold(0.69) 1 per month 0.00  0.0888  0.00  2.51 (2.50)  6.04 
UBS ETRACS - ProShares Daily 3x Long Crude ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0241)  0.00  7.28 (6.77)  14.87