Bank Victoria (Indonesia) Price Prediction

BVIC Stock  IDR 89.00  1.00  1.11%   
As of now, the value of RSI of Bank Victoria's share price is approaching 46 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bank Victoria, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Bank Victoria Intern stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bank Victoria shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bank Victoria's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bank Victoria and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bank Victoria's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bank Victoria International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bank Victoria based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bank stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bank Victoria over a specific investment horizon. Using Bank Victoria hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank Victoria International from the perspective of Bank Victoria response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bank Victoria. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bank Victoria to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bank Victoria after-hype prediction price

    
  IDR 89.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Bank Victoria Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank Victoria's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.1082.3597.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
89.8191.0792.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
88.7289.6790.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank Victoria. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank Victoria's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank Victoria's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank Victoria Intern.

Bank Victoria After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bank Victoria at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank Victoria or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bank Victoria, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bank Victoria Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bank Victoria's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank Victoria's historical news coverage. Bank Victoria's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.75 and 90.25, respectively. We have considered Bank Victoria's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
89.00
89.00
After-hype Price
90.25
Upside
Bank Victoria is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank Victoria Intern is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bank Victoria Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank Victoria is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank Victoria backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank Victoria, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
1.18
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
89.00
89.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Bank Victoria Hype Timeline

Bank Victoria Intern is currently traded for 89.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bank is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bank Victoria is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 89.00. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.47. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bank Victoria Intern recorded a loss per share of 11.3. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of July 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Bank Victoria Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bank Victoria Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bank Victoria's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank Victoria's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank Victoria rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank Victoria may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ITMASumber Energi Andalan 0.00 0 per month 3.62  0.12  15.44 (6.21) 31.37 
BRMSBumi Resources Minerals 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.57 (4.11) 10.75 
BIPIBenakat Petroleum Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20) 2.50 (4.67) 14.84 
MDKAMerdeka Copper Gold 0.00 0 per month 2.34 (0.04) 5.53 (3.56) 19.61 
TAMUPT Pelayaran Tamarin 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 0.00  0.00  25.00 
BYANBayan Resources Tbk 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.43 (1.39) 5.78 
TPIAChandra Asri Petrochemical 0.00 0 per month 6.44  0.05  11.66 (10.84) 44.53 
ADMRAdaro Minerals Indonesia 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 5.06 (3.87) 16.20 
BBRMPelayaran Nasional Bina 0.00 0 per month 1.64  0.02  4.29 (2.94) 16.91 
INCOVale Indonesia Tbk 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.34 (3.04) 18.68 

Bank Victoria Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bank Victoria Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bank Victoria stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bank Victoria International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bank Victoria based on analysis of Bank Victoria hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bank Victoria's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bank Victoria's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Bank Victoria

The number of cover stories for Bank Victoria depends on current market conditions and Bank Victoria's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank Victoria is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank Victoria's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Bank Victoria Short Properties

Bank Victoria's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank Victoria's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank Victoria International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank Victoria's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Victoria's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.5 B
Check out Bank Victoria Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Bank Stock analysis

When running Bank Victoria's price analysis, check to measure Bank Victoria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank Victoria is operating at the current time. Most of Bank Victoria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank Victoria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank Victoria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank Victoria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank Victoria's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank Victoria is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank Victoria's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.