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Citigroup risk analysis

 
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Citigroup Inc

Stock@New York Stock Exchange 
United States USD
     
Use Citigroup Inc risk analysis together with your stock portfolios to protect against small markets fluctuations and to determine Stock optimization strategy that fits your criteria.  Suggest Portfolio
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Taking into account 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta cooficient of 1.79 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Citigroup will likely underperform. In addition to that, Citigroup Inc has alpha of 1.79 implying that it can potentially generate 1.79% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
S&P 500   Citigroup   
Taking into account 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of Citigroup is 392.02. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 1.63 and standard deviation of 1.28. The mean deviation of Citigroup Inc is currently at 1.02. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.58
alpha for Citigroup Inc(alpha)= 1.79 
beta for Citigroup Inc(beta) = 1.79 
volatility for Citigroup Inc(volatility) = 1.28 

Actual Return Volatility

Citigroup Inc accepts 1.28% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.57% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
May 01 2013
 46.48 
  
 45.87 
(0.61)  Macroaxis: -1.3123924268502571 Down   1.31%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 21 2013
 51.40 
  
 51.66 
0.26  Macroaxis: 0.5058365758754825 Up   0.51%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Citigroup Inc has a volatility of 1.28 and is 2.25 times more volatile than S&P 500. 17% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Citigroup. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Citigroup Inc is lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Citigroup Inc to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences normal downward trend and little activity. As market goes up, the company is expected to significantly outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Citigroup will likely underperform.

Citigroup correlation with market

Very poor diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Citigroup Inc. and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Citigroup Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.1523
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.1865
Mean Deviation1.02
Semi-Deviation0.6839
Downside Deviation1.1
Coefficient Of Variation392.02
Standard Deviation1.28

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