CA Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

CA -- USA Stock  

USD 44.06  0.09  0.20%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring CA headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CA brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With CA hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of CA from the prospective of CA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CA over a specific investment horizon. Check also CA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

CA After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

CA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 15, 2018
44.06
Current Value
44.14
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
56.68
Upside
CA is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CA is based on 1 month time horizon.

CA Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.87% 4.18% 0.20%  0.74% 6 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
44.0644.140.02%
1,817% 

CA Hype Timeline

As of July 15, 2018 CA is listed for 44.06. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.2 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.74. CA is suggested to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 44.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1817.39%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.02% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.87%. The volatility of related hype on CA is about 488.32% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 44.8. About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of CA was currently reported as 14.31. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.79. CA last dividend was issued on 2018-05-16. This company had 3:2 split on 1997-11-28. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be in about 6 days.
Check also CA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CA Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
F5 Networks 1.83 3 per month 0.00 (0.14)  1.43 (2.07)  6.21 
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company(0.01) 4 per month 0.00 (0.12)  1.78 (2.97)  5.54 
Broadridge Financial Solutions(0.34) 4 per month 0.82 (0.034)  1.62 (1.53)  3.55 
Gartner(2.95) 2 per month 0.81 (0.0385)  1.20 (1.47)  2.58 
CDK Global 1.32 5 per month 0.97  0.0283  1.61 (1.09)  4.10 
Workday 2.01 5 per month 1.55  0.1  2.59 (2.65)  5.74 
Salesforce 4.28 6 per month 0.97  0.18  2.00 (1.84)  4.80 
CA 0.23 6 per month 0.00  0.18  1.56 (1.46)  3.27 
Computer Sciences Corporation 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.22)  0.00  0.00  85.89 
CDW Corporation 2.19 5 per month 0.77 (0.0337)  1.94 (1.64)  3.82 

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Check also CA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Chance of Distress module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.