China Tontine Wines Stock Price Prediction
| CATWF Stock | USD 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
China Tontine Wines stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of China Tontine shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of China Tontine's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of China Tontine and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from China Tontine's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Tontine Wines, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of China Tontine based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The China stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on China Tontine over a specific investment horizon. Using China Tontine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Tontine Wines from the perspective of China Tontine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in China Tontine. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Tontine to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
China Tontine after-hype prediction price | USD 0.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
China |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Tontine's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
China Tontine After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China Tontine at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Tontine or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of China Tontine, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China Tontine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China Tontine's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Tontine's historical news coverage. China Tontine's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 10.48, respectively. We have considered China Tontine's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China Tontine is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Tontine Wines is based on 3 months time horizon.
China Tontine Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Tontine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Tontine backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Tontine, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.04 | 8.19 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.02 | 0.03 | 9.09 |
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China Tontine Hype Timeline
China Tontine Wines is currently traded for 0.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.45. China is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.03. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -9.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.04%. The volatility of related hype on China Tontine is about 1888.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.47. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.08. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Tontine Wines had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out China Tontine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.China Tontine Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China Tontine's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Tontine's future price movements. Getting to know how China Tontine's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Tontine may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ADWPF | Andrew Peller Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.72 | (3.96) | 18.44 | |
| ASCC | Aristocrat Group Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 8.49 | (5.66) | 19.35 | |
| WVVIP | Willamette Valley Vineyards | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.64 | (2.71) | 8.09 | |
| BF-A | Brown Forman | (0.08) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.77 | (2.08) | 11.36 | |
| BF-B | Brown Forman | (0.58) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.10 | (2.15) | 11.19 | |
| EAST | Eastside Distilling | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 13.74 | (10.62) | 34.42 | |
| DEO | Diageo PLC ADR | (1.80) | 9 per month | 1.06 | (0.05) | 2.48 | (1.90) | 5.98 | |
| STZ | Constellation Brands Class | 5.91 | 10 per month | 1.01 | (0.04) | 1.87 | (1.42) | 5.38 |
China Tontine Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About China Tontine Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of China Tontine stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Tontine Wines, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Tontine based on analysis of China Tontine hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Tontine's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Tontine's related companies. Story Coverage note for China Tontine
The number of cover stories for China Tontine depends on current market conditions and China Tontine's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Tontine is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Tontine's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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China Tontine Short Properties
China Tontine's future price predictability will typically decrease when China Tontine's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Tontine Wines often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Tontine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Tontine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 B |
Check out China Tontine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
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When running China Tontine's price analysis, check to measure China Tontine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Tontine is operating at the current time. Most of China Tontine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Tontine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Tontine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Tontine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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