China Gold International Stock Price Prediction

CGG Stock  CAD 8.52  0.13  1.55%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of China Gold's the stock price is about 69 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling China, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

69

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
China Gold International stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of China Gold shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of China Gold's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of China Gold and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from China Gold's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Gold International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting China Gold's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.092
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.08
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.96
Wall Street Target Price
13.52
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.76)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of China Gold based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The China stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on China Gold over a specific investment horizon. Using China Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Gold International from the perspective of China Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in China Gold. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

China Gold after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 8.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out China Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.806.509.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.778.4811.18
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.230.240.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Gold International.

China Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of China Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of China Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

China Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting China Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Gold's historical news coverage. China Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.88 and 11.28, respectively. We have considered China Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.52
8.58
After-hype Price
11.28
Upside
China Gold is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Gold International is based on 3 months time horizon.

China Gold Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.72 
2.70
  0.06 
  0.04 
3 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.52
8.58
0.70 
3,000  
Notes

China Gold Hype Timeline

China Gold International is currently traded for 8.52on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. China is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 8.58 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.7%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.72%. The volatility of related hype on China Gold is about 5538.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.48. The company reported the revenue of 1.1 B. Net Income was 275.26 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 395.56 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out China Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

China Gold Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to China Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how China Gold rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

China Gold Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About China Gold Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of China Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Gold International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Gold based on analysis of China Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Gold's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.08660.0780.053
Price To Sales Ratio1.041.191.13

Story Coverage note for China Gold

The number of cover stories for China Gold depends on current market conditions and China Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

China Gold Short Properties

China Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when China Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Gold International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding396.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments428.5 M
Check out China Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the China Gold International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other China Gold's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Complementary Tools for China Stock analysis

When running China Gold's price analysis, check to measure China Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Gold is operating at the current time. Most of China Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between China Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if China Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.