Chimera Investment Stock Price Prediction
| CIM Stock | USD 4.18 0.07 1.70% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Chimera Investment stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Chimera Investment shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Chimera Investment's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Chimera Investment and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Chimera Investment's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chimera Investment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Chimera Investment's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.18 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.71 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.62 | Wall Street Target Price 5.25 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Chimera Investment based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Chimera stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Chimera Investment over a specific investment horizon. Using Chimera Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chimera Investment from the perspective of Chimera Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Chimera Investment using Chimera Investment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Chimera using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Chimera Investment's stock price.
Chimera Investment Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Chimera Investment's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Chimera. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Chimera Investment stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Chimera Investment may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Chimera Investment and may potentially protect profits, hedge Chimera Investment with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 5.0984 | Short Percent 0.021 | Short Ratio 2.48 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.8 M | 50 Day MA 4.3742 |
Chimera Investment Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Chimera Investment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Chimera. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chimera can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chimera Investment. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Chimera Investment's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Chimera Investment.
Chimera Investment Implied Volatility | 29.43 |
Chimera Investment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Chimera Investment stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Chimera Investment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Chimera Investment stock will not fluctuate a lot when Chimera Investment's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Chimera Investment. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chimera Investment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chimera because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chimera Investment after-hype prediction price | USD 4.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Chimera |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chimera Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Chimera Investment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chimera Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chimera Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chimera Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chimera Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chimera Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chimera Investment's historical news coverage. Chimera Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.78 and 6.42, respectively. We have considered Chimera Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chimera Investment is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chimera Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chimera Investment Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chimera Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chimera Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chimera Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.30 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.18 | 4.10 | 0.24 |
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Chimera Investment Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of April Chimera Investment is traded for 4.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Chimera is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Chimera Investment is about 1489.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.14. About 52.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.38. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Chimera Investment last dividend was issued on the 5th of April 2024. The entity had 1:5 split on the 7th of April 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Chimera Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Chimera Investment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chimera Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chimera Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Chimera Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chimera Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TWO | Two Harbors Investments | (0.51) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.17 | (2.97) | 9.06 | |
| MFA | MFA Financial | 0.21 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.18 | (3.07) | 9.21 | |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | (0.13) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.39 | (3.25) | 10.38 | |
| ORC | Orchid Island Capital | (0.43) | 10 per month | 2.20 | (0.02) | 3.09 | (3.96) | 9.72 | |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT | (0.33) | 12 per month | 2.24 | (0.03) | 2.73 | (4.15) | 12.01 | |
| NYMT | New York Mortgage | (0.15) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.09 | (3.40) | 10.51 | |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment Corp | 0.12 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.77 | (2.20) | 8.03 | |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | (0.21) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.45 | (4.14) | 11.62 | |
| NLY | Annaly Capital Management | 0.04 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.82 | (2.28) | 7.19 |
Chimera Investment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chimera price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chimera using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chimera charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Chimera Investment Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chimera Investment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chimera Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chimera Investment based on analysis of Chimera Investment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chimera Investment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chimera Investment's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.11 | 0.28 | 0.22 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.34 | 2.97 | 1.6 |
Story Coverage note for Chimera Investment
The number of cover stories for Chimera Investment depends on current market conditions and Chimera Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chimera Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chimera Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Chimera Investment Short Properties
Chimera Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chimera Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chimera Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chimera Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chimera Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 232.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 221.7 M |
Check out Chimera Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Chimera Stock, please use our How to Invest in Chimera Investment guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Chimera Stock analysis
When running Chimera Investment's price analysis, check to measure Chimera Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chimera Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Chimera Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chimera Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chimera Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chimera Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Chimera Investment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chimera Investment. If investors know Chimera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chimera Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | Dividend Share 0.7 | Earnings Share 0.23 | Revenue Per Share 0.982 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.60) |
The market value of Chimera Investment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chimera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chimera Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chimera Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chimera Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chimera Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chimera Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chimera Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chimera Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.