Cortland Bancorp Price Prediction

Cortland Bancorp -- USA Stock  

USD 20  0.25  1.23%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Cortland Bancorp headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cortland Bancorp brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Cortland Bancorp hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Cortland Bancorp from the prospective of Cortland Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Cortland Bancorp over a specific investment horizon. Check also Cortland Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Cortland Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
December 14, 2017
20
Current Value
Downside upside
19.93
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
25.33
Upside
Upside upside
Cortland Bancorp is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cortland Bancorp is based on 1 month time horizon.

Cortland Bancorp Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.28% 1.8% 0.07%  0.13% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2019.930.35%
720% 

Cortland Bancorp Hype Timeline

Cortland Bancorp is currently traded for 20 . This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Cortland Bancorp is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 19.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 720.0%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.35% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Cortland Bancorp is about 386.4% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 20.13. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.45. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cortland Bancorp last dividend was issued on 2017-11-10. This company had 101:100 split on 2009-03-05. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check also Cortland Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Cortland Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Citigroup Inc(0.81) 1 per month 0.78 (0.0459) (1.01)  2.11 (1.44)  4.67 
Astoria Financial Corporation 3.37 1 per month 0.00  0.14  0.00  33.4 (25.04)  58.44 
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation(0.55) 1 per month 0.32 (0.0235) (0.76)  1.82 (0.98)  3.48 
Byline Bancorp Inc 0.53 2 per month 1.56  0.0841 (1.8)  3.69 (2.47)  7.74 
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce 0.41 1 per month 0.00  0.0596 (1.05)  2.78 (0.75)  5.15 
Deutsche Bank AG(0.15) 1 per month 1.01  0.038 (1.22)  2.81 (1.88)  5.38