Correlation Between Cummins and Caterpillar

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cummins and Caterpillar at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cummins and Caterpillar into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cummins and Caterpillar, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cummins and Caterpillar and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cummins with a short position of Caterpillar. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cummins and Caterpillar.

Diversification Opportunities for Cummins and Caterpillar

0.96
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cummins and Caterpillar is 0.96. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cummins and Caterpillar in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Caterpillar and Cummins is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cummins are associated (or correlated) with Caterpillar. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Caterpillar has no effect on the direction of Cummins i.e., Cummins and Caterpillar go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cummins and Caterpillar

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Cummins is expected to generate 1.95 times less return on investment than Caterpillar. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Cummins is 1.12 times less risky than Caterpillar. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Caterpillar is currently generating about 0.14 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  21,311  in Caterpillar on December 30, 2023 and sell it today you would earn a total of  15,332  from holding Caterpillar or generate 71.94% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Cummins  vs.  Caterpillar

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Cummins 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

 
Low
 
High
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cummins are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak primary indicators, Cummins demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Caterpillar 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

22 of 100

 
Low
 
High
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Caterpillar are ranked lower than 22 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak basic indicators, Caterpillar unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Cummins and Caterpillar Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Cummins and Caterpillar

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cummins and Caterpillar positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cummins position performs unexpectedly, Caterpillar can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Caterpillar will offset losses from the drop in Caterpillar's long position.
The idea behind Cummins and Caterpillar pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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