Cinemark Holdings Stock Volatility

CNK Stock  USD 18.29  0.05  0.27%   
Cinemark Holdings appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Cinemark Holdings secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which signifies that the company had 0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Cinemark Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Cinemark Holdings' Mean Deviation of 1.61, downside deviation of 1.97, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.102 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Cinemark Holdings' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Cinemark Holdings Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Cinemark daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Cinemark's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Cinemark Holdings volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Cinemark Holdings can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Cinemark Holdings at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Cinemark stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Cinemark Holdings' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Cinemark Holdings Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Cinemark Holdings' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Cinemark stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Cinemark stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Cinemark Holdings's beta of 1.26 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Cinemark Holdings stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Cinemark Holdings has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.11 and kurtosis of 0.18. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Cinemark Holdings to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Cinemark Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Cinemark Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Cinemark Holdings Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Cinemark Holdings correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Cinemark Beta

    
  1.26  
Cinemark standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.05  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Cinemark Holdings's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Cinemark Holdings' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in cinemark stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Cinemark Holdings.

Using Cinemark Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Cinemark Holdings grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Cinemark Holdings at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Cinemark Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Cinemark Holdings' position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Cinemark Holdings will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Cinemark Holdings' PUT expiring on 2024-04-19

   Profit   
       Cinemark Holdings Price At Expiration  

Current Cinemark Holdings Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $19.0-0.60860.18995072024-04-191.1 - 1.251.2View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $18.0-0.41480.1921132024-04-190.6 - 0.70.65View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $17.0-0.24360.14526872024-04-190.3 - 0.350.33View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $16.0-0.13380.090717442024-04-190.15 - 0.20.17View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $15.0-0.06440.04983862024-04-190.05 - 0.10.25View
View All Cinemark Holdings Options

Cinemark Holdings Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Cinemark Holdings stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Cinemark Holdings' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Cinemark Holdings' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Cinemark Holdings' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Cinemark Holdings' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Cinemark Holdings' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Cinemark Holdings' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Cinemark Holdings' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Cinemark Holdings Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Cinemark Holdings Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.2636 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cinemark Holdings will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cinemark Holdings or Entertainment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cinemark Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cinemark stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has an alpha of 0.1297, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Cinemark Holdings' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how cinemark stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Cinemark Holdings Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Cinemark Holdings Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cinemark Holdings or Entertainment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cinemark Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cinemark stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Cinemark Holdings is 586.9. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4.18 and standard deviation of 2.05. The mean deviation of Cinemark Holdings is currently at 1.6. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.63
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.26
σ
Overall volatility
2.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Cinemark Holdings Stock Return Volatility

Cinemark Holdings historical daily return volatility represents how much of Cinemark Holdings stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company has volatility of 2.0453% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.5953% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Cinemark Holdings Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Cinemark Holdings or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Cinemark Holdings may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Cinemark's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Cinemark Holdings and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Cinemark Holdings fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Selling And Marketing Expenses842.7 M884.9 M
Cinemark Holdings' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Cinemark Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Cinemark Holdings' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Cinemark Holdings' volatility to invest better

Higher Cinemark Holdings' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Cinemark Holdings stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Cinemark Holdings stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Cinemark Holdings investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Cinemark Holdings' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Cinemark Holdings' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Cinemark Holdings Investment Opportunity

Cinemark Holdings has a volatility of 2.05 and is 3.42 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 18  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Cinemark Holdings. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Cinemark Holdings is lower than 18 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use Cinemark Holdings to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The stock experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Cinemark Holdings to be traded at $18.11 in 90 days.

Weak diversification

The correlation between Cinemark Holdings and NYA is 0.39 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cinemark Holdings and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Cinemark Holdings Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cinemark Holdings' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cinemark Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Cinemark Holdings stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Cinemark Holdings Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Cinemark Holdings as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Cinemark Holdings' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Cinemark Holdings' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Cinemark Holdings.
When determining whether Cinemark Holdings is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Cinemark Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Cinemark Holdings Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Cinemark Holdings Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cinemark Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
For more information on how to buy Cinemark Stock please use our How to buy in Cinemark Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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When running Cinemark Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Cinemark Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cinemark Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Cinemark Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cinemark Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cinemark Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cinemark Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cinemark Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cinemark Holdings. If investors know Cinemark will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cinemark Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
Earnings Share
1.34
Revenue Per Share
25.749
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.065
Return On Assets
0.0481
The market value of Cinemark Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cinemark that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cinemark Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cinemark Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cinemark Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cinemark Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cinemark Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cinemark Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cinemark Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.