Cno Financial Group Stock Price Prediction
| CNO Stock | USD 26.70 0.09 0.34% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
CNO Financial Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of CNO Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of CNO Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CNO Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CNO Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CNO Financial Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CNO Financial's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.71 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.14 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.46 | Wall Street Target Price 29 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of CNO Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The CNO stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CNO Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using CNO Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CNO Financial Group from the perspective of CNO Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CNO Financial using CNO Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CNO using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CNO Financial's stock price.
CNO Financial Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in CNO Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CNO. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CNO Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long CNO Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CNO Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge CNO Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 25.4897 | Short Percent 0.0296 | Short Ratio 2.76 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.7 M | 50 Day MA 26.6456 |
CNO Financial Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CNO Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CNO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CNO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CNO Financial Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CNO Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CNO Financial.
CNO Financial Implied Volatility | 33.12 |
CNO Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CNO Financial Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CNO Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CNO Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when CNO Financial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in CNO Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CNO Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CNO because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CNO Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 26.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CNO contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CNO Financial Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.07% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With CNO Financial trading at USD 26.7, that is roughly USD 0.55 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CNO Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CNO Financial Group options at the current volatility level of 33.12%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
CNO |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CNO Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CNO Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CNO Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CNO Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CNO Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CNO Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CNO Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CNO Financial's historical news coverage. CNO Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.25 and 27.95, respectively. We have considered CNO Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CNO Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CNO Financial Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
CNO Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CNO Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CNO Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CNO Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.35 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 12 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.70 | 26.60 | 0.04 |
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CNO Financial Hype Timeline
On the 24th of April CNO Financial Group is traded for 26.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. CNO is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 26.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on CNO Financial is about 1080.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.71. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.25. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CNO Financial Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.58. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 12th of February 1997. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out CNO Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CNO Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CNO Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CNO Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how CNO Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CNO Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
CNO Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CNO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNO using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CNO Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CNO Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CNO Financial Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CNO Financial based on analysis of CNO Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CNO Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CNO Financial's related companies. | 2020 | 2021 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0212 | 0.0215 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.83 | 0.74 |
Story Coverage note for CNO Financial
The number of cover stories for CNO Financial depends on current market conditions and CNO Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CNO Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CNO Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CNO Financial Short Properties
CNO Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when CNO Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CNO Financial Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CNO Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CNO Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 115.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.6 B |
Check out CNO Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for CNO Stock analysis
When running CNO Financial's price analysis, check to measure CNO Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CNO Financial is operating at the current time. Most of CNO Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CNO Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CNO Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CNO Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CNO Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CNO Financial. If investors know CNO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CNO Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Dividend Share 0.59 | Earnings Share 2.4 | Revenue Per Share 36.608 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.202 |
The market value of CNO Financial Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CNO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CNO Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CNO Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CNO Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CNO Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CNO Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CNO Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CNO Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.