Coupa Software Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

COUP -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: October 31, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Coupa Software Incorporated which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Coupa Software hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Coupa Software Incorporated from the prospective of Coupa Software response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Coupa Software over a specific investment horizon. Check also Coupa Software Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Coupa Software After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Coupa Software Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 14, 2019
158.25
Current Value
149.24
Downside
158.12
After-hype Price
167.00
Upside
Coupa Software is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coupa Software Incor is based on 3 months time horizon.

Coupa Software Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.24  2.96% 0.13   0.25  9 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
158.25158.120.08 
528.57

Coupa Software Hype Timeline

Coupa Software Incor is currently traded for158.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.25. Coupa Software Incorporated is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 158.12. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 528.57%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Coupa Software is about 283.8% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 158.5. About 101.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded loss per share of 1.11. Coupa Software Incor had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had a split on 2016-09-21. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check also Coupa Software Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Coupa Software Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
F5 Networks(0.35) 10 per month 0.00 (0.0268)  2.66 (3.19)  8.10 
Fair Isaac Corproation 9.18 7 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.08 (5.45)  11.55 
Five9 1.45 9 per month 3.00  0.05  4.06 (4.46)  23.27 
Dropbox 0.14 7 per month 0.56  0.17  2.40 (1.33)  6.64 
Black Knight(0.47) 10 per month 1.19  0.0101  1.63 (1.80)  4.60 
BlackLine 0.03 8 per month 2.56  0.0117  2.84 (4.62)  39.48 
Evertec(0.09) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0142)  2.42 (3.37)  18.64 
Amdocs Limited 0.25 6 per month 0.84  0.10  1.11 (1.39)  4.88 
EVO Payments 0.11 4 per month 0.63  0.0152  1.53 (1.07)  4.44 
Box 0.18 9 per month 0.00 (0.0083)  2.82 (3.72)  18.65 

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