Correlation Between VanEck Oil and First Trust

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both VanEck Oil and First Trust at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining VanEck Oil and First Trust into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between VanEck Oil Refiners and First Trust Natural, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on VanEck Oil and First Trust and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in VanEck Oil with a short position of First Trust. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of VanEck Oil and First Trust.

Diversification Opportunities for VanEck Oil and First Trust

0.92
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between VanEck and First is 0.92. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding VanEck Oil Refiners and First Trust Natural in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Trust Natural and VanEck Oil is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on VanEck Oil Refiners are associated (or correlated) with First Trust. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Trust Natural has no effect on the direction of VanEck Oil i.e., VanEck Oil and First Trust go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between VanEck Oil and First Trust

Given the investment horizon of 90 days VanEck Oil Refiners is expected to under-perform the First Trust. In addition to that, VanEck Oil is 1.33 times more volatile than First Trust Natural. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. First Trust Natural is currently generating about 0.13 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  2,686  in First Trust Natural on January 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  62.00  from holding First Trust Natural or generate 2.31% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy95.24%
ValuesDaily Returns

VanEck Oil Refiners  vs.  First Trust Natural

 Performance 
       Timeline  
VanEck Oil Refiners 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

14 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in VanEck Oil Refiners are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unsteady basic indicators, VanEck Oil may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024.
First Trust Natural 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

18 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Natural are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady fundamental indicators, First Trust reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

VanEck Oil and First Trust Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with VanEck Oil and First Trust

The main advantage of trading using opposite VanEck Oil and First Trust positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if VanEck Oil position performs unexpectedly, First Trust can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Trust will offset losses from the drop in First Trust's long position.
The idea behind VanEck Oil Refiners and First Trust Natural pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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