Vaneck Oil Refiners Etf Volatility
| CRAK Etf | USD 37.08 0.40 1.07% |
We consider VanEck Oil very steady. VanEck Oil Refiners owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.19, which indicates the etf had a 0.19% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for VanEck Oil Refiners, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please validate VanEck Oil's Coefficient Of Variation of 632.15, risk adjusted performance of 0.1012, and Semi Deviation of 0.7624 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. Key indicators related to VanEck Oil's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
VanEck Oil Etf volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of VanEck daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use VanEck's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of VanEck Oil volatility.
VanEck |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as VanEck Oil can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of VanEck Oil at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase VanEck stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of VanEck Oil's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with VanEck Etf
| 0.96 | XLE | Energy Select Sector | PairCorr |
| 0.96 | VDE | Vanguard Energy Index | PairCorr |
| 0.95 | XOP | SPDR SP Oil | PairCorr |
| 0.92 | OIH | VanEck Oil Services | PairCorr |
| 0.96 | IYE | iShares Energy ETF | PairCorr |
| 0.96 | IXC | iShares Global Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.95 | FXN | First Trust Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.96 | FENY | Fidelity MSCI Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.97 | FTXN | First Trust Nasdaq | PairCorr |
VanEck Oil Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
VanEck Oil's beta coefficient measures the volatility of VanEck etf compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents VanEck etf's returns against your selected market. In other words, VanEck Oil's beta of 0.85 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk VanEck Oil etf can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. VanEck Oil Refiners has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.16, Maximum Drawdown of 3.96 and kurtosis of -0.39. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure VanEck Oil's etf risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact VanEck Oil's etf price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze VanEck Oil Refiners Demand TrendCheck current 90 days VanEck Oil correlation with market (NYSE Composite)VanEck Beta |
VanEck standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.95 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by VanEck Oil's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of VanEck Oil's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in vaneck etf tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in VanEck Oil.
Using VanEck Put Option to Manage Risk
Put options written on VanEck Oil grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of VanEck Oil at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of VanEck Etf cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge VanEck Oil's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding VanEck Oil will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.
VanEck Oil's PUT expiring on 2024-04-19
Profit |
| VanEck Oil Price At Expiration |
VanEck Oil Refiners Etf Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which VanEck Oil etf price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with VanEck Oil's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of VanEck Oil's etf to predict their future moves. A etf that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A etf with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile etf is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of VanEck Oil's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of etf volatility measures VanEck Oil's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict VanEck Oil's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the etf.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for VanEck Oil's current market price. This means that the etf will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on VanEck Oil's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. VanEck Oil Refiners Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
VanEck Oil Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VanEck Oil has a beta of 0.8518 suggesting VanEck Oil Refiners market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, VanEck Oil is expected to follow.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to VanEck Oil or VanEck sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that VanEck Oil's price will be affected by overall etf market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a VanEck etf's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
VanEck Oil Refiners has an alpha of 0.0899, implying that it can generate a 0.0899 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a VanEck Oil Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a etf's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.VanEck Oil Etf Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of VanEck Oil is 533.69. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.89 and standard deviation of 0.95. The mean deviation of VanEck Oil Refiners is currently at 0.77. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
VanEck Oil Etf Return Volatility
VanEck Oil historical daily return volatility represents how much of VanEck Oil etf's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The ETF venture inherits 0.9453% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6179% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About VanEck Oil Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of VanEck Oil or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of VanEck Oil may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to VanEck's beta indicator, it measures the risk of VanEck Oil and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of VanEck Oil fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its total assets in securities that comprise the funds benchmark index. Vaneck Oil is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
VanEck Oil's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on VanEck Etf over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much VanEck Oil's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize VanEck Oil's volatility to invest better
Higher VanEck Oil's etf volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of VanEck Oil Refiners etf is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. VanEck Oil Refiners etf volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of VanEck Oil Refiners investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in VanEck Oil's etf can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of VanEck Oil's etf relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
VanEck Oil Investment Opportunity
VanEck Oil Refiners has a volatility of 0.95 and is 1.53 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 8 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than VanEck Oil. You can use VanEck Oil Refiners to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The etf experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of VanEck Oil to be traded at $35.97 in 90 days.Very weak diversification
The correlation between VanEck Oil Refiners and NYA is 0.56 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding VanEck Oil Refiners and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
VanEck Oil Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of VanEck Oil's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VanEck Oil's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of VanEck Oil etf's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1012 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1741 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.7666 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7624 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.9474 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 632.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9469 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential etfs, we recommend comparing similar etfs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
VanEck Oil Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against VanEck Oil as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. VanEck Oil's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, VanEck Oil's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to VanEck Oil Refiners.
When determining whether VanEck Oil Refiners is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if VanEck Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Vaneck Oil Refiners Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Vaneck Oil Refiners Etf: Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in VanEck Oil Refiners. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. Note that the VanEck Oil Refiners information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other VanEck Oil's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
The market value of VanEck Oil Refiners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Oil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Oil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Oil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Oil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.