CVS Health Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

CVS -- USA Stock  

USD 72.11  1.26  1.72%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CVS Health Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With CVS Health hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of CVS Health Corporation from the prospective of CVS Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CVS Health over a specific investment horizon. Check also CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

CVS Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

CVS Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 14, 2018
72.11
Current Value
72.28
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
77.83
Upside
CVS Health is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CVS Health is based on 2 months time horizon.

CVS Health Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.00% 1.85% 0.00%  0.00% 7 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
72.1172.280.00%
740.00% 

CVS Health Hype Timeline

On 14 of December CVS Health Corporation is traded for 72.11. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CVS Health Corporation is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 740.0%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to CVS Health is about 714.29%%. The volatility of related hype on CVS Health is about 714.29% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 72.11. About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CVS Health Corporation was currently reported as 35.94. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.91. CVS Health Corporation last dividend was issued on 2018-10-23. This company had 2:1 split on 2005-06-07. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check also CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CVS Health Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Cigna Corporation 1.93 8 per month 1.75  0.06  2.82 (3.11)  8.00 
Express Scripts Holding Company 0.45 9 per month 1.21  0.14  2.39 (1.76)  6.57 
Centene Corporation 0.32 7 per month 0.00  0.0057  3.51 (3.60)  13.97 
CVS Health Corporation(0.25) 7 per month 0.00  0.0033  3.54 (3.64)  12.16 
Humana(2.45) 8 per month 0.00  0.0066  3.58 (3.25)  10.77 
Molina Healthcare 4.59 7 per month 2.76  0.0463  4.42 (5.51)  16.76 
Health Insurance Innovations 0.02 7 per month 0.00 (0.07)  7.76 (8.81)  24.28 
Magellan Health(0.05) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0284)  4.83 (4.82)  14.93 
Anthem(2.14) 6 per month 1.48  0.1  3.80 (2.39)  8.99 
Alcoa Corporation 0.17 9 per month 0.00 (0.11)  5.12 (6.84)  15.49 

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