CVS Health Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

CVS -- USA Stock  

USD 78.96  0.63  0.79%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CVS Health Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With CVS Health hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of CVS Health Corporation from the prospective of CVS Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CVS Health over a specific investment horizon. Check also CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

CVS Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline

CVS Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 22, 2018
Current Value
After-hype Price
Target Odds
CVS Health is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CVS Health is based on 1 month time horizon.

CVS Health Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.38% 1.54% 0.21%  0.22% 6 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

CVS Health Hype Timeline

On 22 of September CVS Health Corporation is traded for 78.96. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.21 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.22. CVS Health Corporation is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 78.75. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 285.19%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.27% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on CVS Health is about 261.9% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 79.18. About 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CVS Health Corporation was currently reported as 35.01. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.12. CVS Health Corporation last dividend was issued on 2018-07-24. This company had 2:1 split on 2005-06-07. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check also CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CVS Health Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Cigna Corporation 1.82 3 per month 0.17  0.16  1.84 (1.18)  4.84 
Express Scripts Holding Company 0.20 6 per month 0.00  0.14  3.71 (1.22)  5.32 
Aetna 1.18 4 per month 0.00 (0.0377)  1.14 (0.49)  2.81 
Centene Corporation 0.31 6 per month 0.00 (0.23)  0.67 (2.40)  3.48 
CVS Health Corporation(0.54) 6 per month 1.05  0.11  2.10 (2.13)  6.68 
Humana(2.62) 3 per month 0.94  0.0146  2.11 (1.48)  5.03 
Molina Healthcare 5.51 4 per month 1.12  0.16  3.56 (3.22)  6.89 
Health Insurance Innovations(2.50) 3 per month 0.00 (0.13)  3.69 (4.64)  10.31 
Magellan Health(0.35) 6 per month 0.00 (0.25)  1.15 (1.76)  5.38 
Anthem 2.87 4 per month 1.30 (0.0315)  1.50 (0.79)  5.00 

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Check also CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of macroaxis ideas.