CVS Health Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring CVS Health headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CVS Health Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With CVS Health hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of CVS Health Corporation from the prospective of CVS Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CVS Health over a specific investment horizon. Check also CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

CVS Health estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
May 23, 2017
76.34
Current Value
Downside upside
76.27
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
80.98
Upside
Upside upside
CVS Health is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CVS Health is based on 1 month time horizon.

CVS Health Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.21% 1.57% 0.07%  0.03% 2 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
76.3476.270.09%
448.57% 

CVS Health Hype Timeline

On 23 of May CVS Health Corporation is traded for  76.34 . This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. CVS Health Corporation is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 76.27. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 448.57%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.09% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on CVS Health is about 951.52% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 76.37. About 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. Book value of CVS Health Corporation was currently as 32.95. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.65. CVS Health Corporation last dividend was issued on 2017-04-19. This company had 2:1 split on June 7, 2005. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check also CVS Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CVS Health Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Laboratory Corp of America Holdings 0.65 2 per month 0.00 (0.15)  0.00  0.92 (1.70)  4.88 
MEDNAX Inc(0.02) 2 per month 0.00 (0.31)  0.00  1.59 (2.48)  8.38 
Envision Healthcare Holdings Inc 0.04 1 per month 1.09  0.02 (1.06)  1.47 (2.18)  6.12 
Alere Inc(0.08) 2 per month 0.00 (0.08)  0.00  1.27 (0.34)  5.46 
Concord Medical Services Holdings Limited(0.03) 3 per month 0.00 (0.29)  0.00  2.27 (2.64)  7.42 
Centene Corp 0.43 2 per month 0.84  0.11 (1.30)  2.15 (1.42)  3.65