Chevron Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

CVX -- USA Stock  

USD 126.61  4.42  3.62%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Chevron headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chevron Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Chevron hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Chevron Corporation from the prospective of Chevron response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Chevron over a specific investment horizon. Check also Chevron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Chevron After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Chevron Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

May 27, 2018
126.61
Current Value
Downside
125.03
128.63
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
132.23
Upside
Chevron is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chevron is based on 1 month time horizon.

Chevron Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.16% 1.14% 0.17%  0.07% 5 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
126.61128.630.05%
107.55% 

Chevron Hype Timeline

On 27 of May Chevron Corporation is traded for 126.61. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.17 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Chevron Corporation is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 128.63. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 107.55%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Chevron is about 267.61% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 126.68. About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.57. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Chevron Corporation has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.34. This company last dividend was issued on 2018-05-17. The firm had 2:1 split on 2004-09-13. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Check also Chevron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Chevron Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SM Energy Company 0.16 6 per month 2.46  0.12  2.51 (3.35)  6.57 
Apache Corporation 0.27 6 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.82 (4.80)  8.05 
Anadarko Petroleum Corporation 0.54 7 per month 1.26  0.0108  1.58 (1.81)  3.42 
Chesapeake Energy Corporation(0.36) 5 per month 2.20  0.38  9.16 (5.36)  15.49 
Cabot Oil Gas Corporation 0.10 6 per month 0.00 (0.13)  1.52 (2.65)  5.30 
ConocoPhillips(0.15) 6 per month 0.00 (0.06)  1.45 (3.02)  3.04 
Chevron Corporation(1.06) 5 per month 0.00 (0.06)  1.70 (1.62)  3.56 
Concho Resources 4.75 5 per month 0.00 (0.25)  1.96 (3.59)  7.94 
Denbury Resources 0.11 6 per month 2.82  0.19  8.47 (4.24)  15.71 
Devon Energy Corporation(0.10) 6 per month 0.51  0.40  3.08 (1.25)  8.30 
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Check also Chevron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.