Chevron Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

CVX -- USA Stock  

USD 119.06  2.11  1.80%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chevron Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Chevron hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Chevron Corporation from the prospective of Chevron response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Chevron over a specific investment horizon. Check also Chevron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Chevron After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Chevron Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 17, 2018
119.06
Current Value
113.82
Downside
119.25
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
124.68
Upside
Chevron is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chevron is based on 1 month time horizon.

Chevron Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.08% 1.81% 0.19%  0.00% 3 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
119.06119.250.16%
78.02% 

Chevron Hype Timeline

On 17 of November Chevron Corporation is traded for 119.06. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.19 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Chevron Corporation is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 119.25. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 78.02%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.16% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Chevron is about 25857.14% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 119.06. The company reported last year revenue of 142.99 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 12.11 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 39.47 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days.
Check also Chevron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Chevron Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Eni S p A 0.63 2 per month 0.00 (0.0165)  1.99 (2.83)  5.21 
Adams Resources Energy(0.69) 4 per month 0.00  0.0023  2.92 (3.06)  7.42 
BP plc(0.81) 3 per month 0.00 (0.13)  2.75 (3.10)  7.14 
Ecopetrol S A 0.08 4 per month 0.00 (0.35)  2.33 (6.06)  7.62 
EQT GP Holdings LP 0.08 4 per month 0.00 (0.23)  2.60 (4.65)  7.25 
Equinor ASA(0.58) 4 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.48 (3.36)  7.05 
Cenovus Energy(0.33) 4 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.86 (2.68)  7.92 
Chevron Corporation 2.32 3 per month 1.80  0.039  3.20 (2.81)  5.44 
Imperial Oil Limited(0.76) 3 per month 0.00 (0.12)  1.65 (2.57)  4.67 
Petrleo Brasileiro S A Petrobras(0.01) 4 per month 0.00 (0.12)  3.55 (4.55)  9.87 

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Check also Chevron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
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