Chevron Valuation Overview

CVX -- USA Stock  

USD 117.38  0.78  0.66%

Chevron shows prevailing Real Value of $122.2235 per share. The current price of the firm is $117.38. At this time the firm appears to be fairly valued. Macroaxis approximates value of Chevron from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 8.47% and Return On Equity of 8.10% as well as examining its technical indicators and Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor to go long with undervalued instruments and to trade away overvalued instruments since at some point assets prices and their ongoing real values will blend.

Taking a look at a recent 8-K filing, we can see the numbers from their third quarter operations. The company reported earnings of $1.3 billion for the third quarter of 2016, compared with earnings of $2.0 billion in the third quarter of 2015. Sales and other operations revenues in the third quarter 2016 were $29 billion, compared to $33 billion in 2015 third quarter. These numbers are expected to be lower due to the low oil prices, but as the price begins to increase, this will certainly help these numbers increase.

Taking a look at the chart, we can see that price has been on steady increase from the year 2003. In mid 2015, we can see price retraced quite drastically and has also rebounded just as nicely. This is what I want to see in a chart because this means people are entering and taking profits, where as with price just going up, people haven’t taken profits on a massive scale. Right now might be a good entry area if you’re playing the ABC structure on the way up. Overall, the chart is looking good and moving with the fundamental numbers.

Valuation Drivers Correlation
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Chevron Corporation Valuation Data Drivers
Enterprise Value    Market Capitalization    
Chevron Market Cap
Chevron Corporation is rated fifth in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Oil & Gas Integrated industry is currently estimated at about 1.85 Trillion. Chevron retains roughly 224.38 Billion in market capitalization claiming about 12% of all equities under Oil & Gas Integrated industry.
Capitalization  Total debt  Workforce  Revenue  Valuation
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
Chevron Corporation is rated third in beta category among related companies. It is rated fifth in five year return category among related companies reporting about  3.72  of Five Year Return per Beta.

Current Market Valuation

Chevron Valuation Boundaries

Fairly Valued
September 19, 2018
117.38
Market Value
Downside
106.34
122.22
Real Value
Target Odds
  
125.16
Upside
Chevron is not too risky asset. Calculation of real value of Chevron is based on 1 month time horizon. Increasing Chevron time horizon generally increases accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves predictive power of the methodology used.

Valuation Basics

Chevron Enterprise Value Fundamentals

Quick Ratio0.76
Earnings Quarterly Growth135.10%
Revenue Growth30.20%
Payout Ratio69.29%
Enterprise Value To Ebitda9.57
Earnings Growth131.20%
Enterprise Value To Revenue1.76
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