Deutsche Bank Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

DB -- USA Stock  

USD 12.34  0.10  0.82%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Deutsche Bank hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft from the prospective of Deutsche Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Deutsche Bank over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Deutsche Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Deutsche Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Deutsche Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 25, 2018
12.34
Current Value
12.35
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
16.79
Upside
Deutsche Bank is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Deutsche Bank Aktien is based on 1 month time horizon.

Deutsche Bank Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.22% 1.48% 0.01%  0.04% 4 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.3412.350.08%
2,960% 

Deutsche Bank Hype Timeline

As of September 25, 2018 Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft is listed for 12.34. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft is suggested to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 12.35. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 2960.0%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.08% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Deutsche Bank is about 804.35% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 12.3. The company generated yearly revenue of 29.82 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (1.85 B) with gross profit of 25.93 B. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be in about 4 days.
Additionally see Deutsche Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Deutsche Bank Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft 0.05 4 per month 1.03  0.14  2.99 (2.06)  5.18 
Lloyds Banking Group plc 0.01 3 per month 1.13 (0.0049)  1.96 (1.94)  4.92 
Citigroup 0.34 6 per month 0.46  0.0158  1.79 (1.49)  4.01 
Loews Corporation 0.60 6 per month 0.48 (0.0146)  1.21 (0.77)  2.26 
Diamond Hill Investment Group(2.18) 3 per month 0.00 (0.82)  0.51 (2.39)  3.47 
AllianceBernstein Holding L P(0.35) 4 per month 0.00 (0.19)  1.64 (1.15)  3.46 
Associated Capital Group(1.00) 4 per month 0.45  0.10  2.18 (1.21)  3.76 
Arlington Asset Investment Corp 0.09 4 per month 0.00 (0.24)  1.20 (0.89)  2.65 
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation 0.05 6 per month 0.81 (0.17)  1.72 (1.52)  2.43 
The Blackstone Group L P 0.55 7 per month 1.03  0.17  2.39 (0.72)  5.22 

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