Deutsche Bank Price Prediction

Deutsche Bank AG -- USA Stock  

USD 16.08  0.03  0.19%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Deutsche Bank headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Deutsche Bank AG brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Deutsche Bank hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Deutsche Bank AG from the prospective of Deutsche Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Deutsche Bank over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Deutsche Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Deutsche Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
February 19, 2018
16.08
Current Value
Downside upside
16.08
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
23.76
Upside
Upside upside
Deutsche Bank is not very volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Deutsche Bank AG is based on 1 month time horizon.

Deutsche Bank Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.86% 2.56% 0.00%  0.14% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.0816.080.00%
0.00% 

Deutsche Bank Hype Timeline

As of February 19, 2018 Deutsche Bank AG is listed for 16.08. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.14. Deutsche Bank AG is suggested not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is suggested to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at -0.86%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Deutsche Bank is about 1583.51%%. The volatility of related hype on Deutsche Bank is about 1583.51% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 16.22. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.38. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Deutsche Bank AG has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.15. This company recorded loss per share of 0.51. The firm last dividend was issued on 2017-05-19. Deutsche Bank had 1048:1000 split on 2014-06-06. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be in a few days.
Additionally see Deutsche Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Deutsche Bank Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Citigroup Inc 0.47 1 per month 0.00  0.0592  0.00  2.12 (4.16)  6.28 
Astoria Financial Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.16  0.00  33.40 (25.04)  58.44 
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation 0.92 1 per month 1.84  0.13 (1.24)  2.13 (3.46)  5.98 
Byline Bancorp Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0773  0.00  1.23 (2.18)  4.00 
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce(0.42) 1 per month 0.00 (0.16)  0.00  0.90 (2.90)  4.28 
Deutsche Bank AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18)  0.00  2.76 (4.10)  11.61