Deutsche Bank Price Prediction

Deutsche Bank AG -- USA Stock  

USD 16.99  0.12  0.71%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Deutsche Bank headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Deutsche Bank AG brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Deutsche Bank hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Deutsche Bank AG from the prospective of Deutsche Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Deutsche Bank over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Deutsche Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Deutsche Bank estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 20, 2017
16.99
Current Value
Downside upside
16.88
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
21.68
Upside
Upside upside
Deutsche Bank is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Deutsche Bank AG is based on 1 month time horizon.

Deutsche Bank Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.17% 1.6% 0.01%  0.00% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.9916.880.06%
2,667% 

Deutsche Bank Hype Timeline

As of October 20, 2017 Deutsche Bank AG is going for 16.99 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Deutsche Bank AG is suggested to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 16.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 2666.67%. The price increase on the next news is estimated to be 0.06% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Deutsche Bank is about 32000.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 16.99. The company generated yearly revenue of 33.13 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (1.09 B) with gross profit of 28.71 B. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be very soon.
Additionally see Deutsche Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Deutsche Bank Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Citigroup Inc 0.53 1 per month 1.06 (0.0341) (0.91)  1.89 (0.78)  5.67 
Astoria Financial Corporation 0.03 1 per month 0.00  0.25  0.00  2.51 (2.83)  4.12 
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation(1.16) 1 per month 0.97 (0.1) (0.54)  1.19 (1.37)  2.6 
Byline Bancorp Inc 0.18 3 per month 0.00 (0.21)  0.00  0.81 (2.27)  4.79 
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce 0.33 1 per month 0.51  0.0213 (0.53)  1.02 (0.62)  2.56 
Deutsche Bank AG 0.06 1 per month 1.27  0.0079 (1.85)  2.56 (1.98)  5.44