iPath Seasonal Price Prediction

iPath Seasonal Natural Gas ETN -- USA Etf  

USD 17.73  0.07  0.4%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring iPath Seasonal headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iPath Seasonal Natural Gas ETN brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With iPath Seasonal hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of iPath Seasonal Natural Gas ETN from the prospective of iPath Seasonal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on iPath Seasonal over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see iPath Seasonal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

iPath Seasonal estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 22, 2017
17.73
Current Value
Downside upside
17.73
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
21.3
Upside
Upside upside
iPath Seasonal is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iPath Seasonal Natural is based on 1 month time horizon.

iPath Seasonal Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.34% 1.19% 0.00%  0.01% 0 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.7317.730.00%
0.00% 

iPath Seasonal Hype Timeline

iPath Seasonal Natural Gas ETN is currently traded for 17.73 . This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. iPath Seasonal Natural Gas ETN is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at -0.34%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to iPath Seasonal is about 4200.0%%. The volatility of related hype on iPath Seasonal is about 4200.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 17.74. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Additionally see iPath Seasonal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

iPath Seasonal Related Hype Analysis