Correlation Between Deere and Caterpillar

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Deere and Caterpillar at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Deere and Caterpillar into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Deere Company and Caterpillar, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Deere and Caterpillar and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Deere with a short position of Caterpillar. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Deere and Caterpillar.

Diversification Opportunities for Deere and Caterpillar

0.53
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Deere and Caterpillar is 0.53. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Deere Company and Caterpillar in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Caterpillar and Deere is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Deere Company are associated (or correlated) with Caterpillar. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Caterpillar has no effect on the direction of Deere i.e., Deere and Caterpillar go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Deere and Caterpillar

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Deere is expected to generate 1.3 times less return on investment than Caterpillar. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Deere Company is 1.1 times less risky than Caterpillar. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Caterpillar is currently generating about 0.24 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  32,420  in Caterpillar on January 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,951  from holding Caterpillar or generate 12.19% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Deere Company  vs.  Caterpillar

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Deere Company 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

1 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Deere Company are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound technical and fundamental indicators, Deere is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.
Caterpillar 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

19 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Caterpillar are ranked lower than 19 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak basic indicators, Caterpillar unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Deere and Caterpillar Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Deere and Caterpillar

The main advantage of trading using opposite Deere and Caterpillar positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Deere position performs unexpectedly, Caterpillar can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Caterpillar will offset losses from the drop in Caterpillar's long position.
The idea behind Deere Company and Caterpillar pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

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