Deere Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

DE -- USA Stock  

USD 140.30  1.09  0.78%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Deere headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Deere Company brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Deere hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Deere Company from the prospective of Deere response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Deere over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Deere Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Deere After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Deere Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 19, 2018
140.30
Current Value
Downside
136.62
140.58
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
144.54
Upside
Deere is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Deere Company is based on 1 month time horizon.

Deere Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.08% 1.32% 0.28%  0.01% 6 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
140.30140.580.20%
37.18% 

Deere Hype Timeline

As of July 19, 2018 Deere Company is listed for 140.30. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.28 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Deere Company is suggested to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 140.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 37.18%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.2% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Deere is about 1619.63% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 140.31. The company generated yearly revenue of 33 B. Reported Net Income was 1.82 B with gross profit of 6.71 B. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be in about 6 days.
Additionally see Deere Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Deere Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Deere Company 3.55 6 per month 0.00 (0.15)  1.45 (2.29)  5.46 
Alamo Group(1.63) 4 per month 0.00 (0.19)  1.46 (1.70)  3.26 
ASV Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Caterpillar 1.21 5 per month 0.00 (0.15)  1.95 (2.52)  7.28 
Lindsay Corporation(1.90) 4 per month 0.00 (0.19)  1.43 (2.35)  6.96 
The Manitowoc Company 0.06 7 per month 2.16  0.042  3.86 (3.67)  8.73 
Gencor Industries 0.25 3 per month 1.00 (0.11)  1.88 (1.55)  4.29 
Premier Holding Corporation 0.005 3 per month 16.49  0.09  50.00 (33.33)  83.33 
AGCO Corporation(0.73) 7 per month 0.00 (0.1)  1.40 (2.96)  7.51 
Arts Way Manufacturing Co 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.17)  3.77 (4.20)  10.07 

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Additionally see Deere Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.