Journey Medical Corp Stock Price Prediction
| DERM Stock | USD 3.40 0.14 3.95% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Journey Medical Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Journey Medical shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Journey Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Journey Medical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Journey Medical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Journey Medical Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Journey Medical's stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.15) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.74) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.20) | Wall Street Target Price 7.83 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.08) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Journey Medical based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Journey stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Journey Medical over a specific investment horizon. Using Journey Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Journey Medical Corp from the perspective of Journey Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Journey Medical. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Journey Medical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Journey because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Journey Medical after-hype prediction price | USD 3.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Journey |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Journey Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Journey Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Journey Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Journey Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Journey Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Journey Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Journey Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Journey Medical's historical news coverage. Journey Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 11.07, respectively. We have considered Journey Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Journey Medical is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Journey Medical Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Journey Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Journey Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Journey Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Journey Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 7.66 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.40 | 3.41 | 0.29 |
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Journey Medical Hype Timeline
Journey Medical Corp is currently traded for 3.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Journey is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.41 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Journey Medical is about 4156.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.47. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 79.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.89 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Journey Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Journey Medical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Journey Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Journey Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Journey Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Journey Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Journey Medical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Journey price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Journey using various technical indicators. When you analyze Journey charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Journey Medical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Journey Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Journey Medical Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Journey Medical based on analysis of Journey Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Journey Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Journey Medical's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.011 | 0.0127 | 0.0152 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.46 | 1.33 | 1.26 |
Story Coverage note for Journey Medical
The number of cover stories for Journey Medical depends on current market conditions and Journey Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Journey Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Journey Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Journey Medical Short Properties
Journey Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Journey Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Journey Medical Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Journey Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Journey Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.4 M |
Check out Journey Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Complementary Tools for Journey Stock analysis
When running Journey Medical's price analysis, check to measure Journey Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Journey Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Journey Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Journey Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Journey Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Journey Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Journey Medical's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Journey Medical. If investors know Journey will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Journey Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.21) | Revenue Per Share 4.343 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets 0.0074 | Return On Equity (0.21) |
The market value of Journey Medical Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Journey that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Journey Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Journey Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Journey Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Journey Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Journey Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Journey Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Journey Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.