VelocityShares Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

DGAZ -- USA Etf  

USD 20.10  1.69  7.76%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With VelocityShares hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN from the prospective of VelocityShares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on VelocityShares over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see VelocityShares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

VelocityShares After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

VelocityShares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 21, 2018
20.10
Current Value
20.11
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
33.46
Upside
VelocityShares is moderately volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VelocityShares 3x Inv is based on 1 month time horizon.

VelocityShares Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.08% 4.45% 0.01%  0.00% 1 Events / Month3 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.1020.110.05%
4,045% 

VelocityShares Hype Timeline

VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN is currently traded for20.10. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. VelocityShares 3x Inv Natural Gas ETN is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 20.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 4045.45%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.05% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on VelocityShares is about 15344.83% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 20.1. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Additionally see VelocityShares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

VelocityShares Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Twin Butte Energy Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Unisys Corporation(0.10) 5 per month 1.44  0.26  9.25 (4.00)  13.42 
Impac Mortgage Holdings 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.33)  0.00 (2.00)  8.43 
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.45)  0.00 (2.67)  4.76 
Quest PharmaTech 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0332)  16.67 (21.43)  24.36 
Amplify Energy Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 0.33 2 per month 0.00 (0.15)  4.60 (4.40)  10.60 
SandRidge Permian Trust 0.05 4 per month 2.00 (0.07)  3.92 (3.77)  7.84 
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 0.01 1 per month 0.00 (0.39)  0.00 (2.17)  4.89 
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.13)  1.74 (3.37)  10.48 

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Additionally see VelocityShares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
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