Diamond Hill Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

DHIL -- USA Stock  

USD 186.51  0.85  0.45%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Diamond Hill Investment Group which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Diamond Hill hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Diamond Hill Investment Group from the prospective of Diamond Hill response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Diamond Hill over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Diamond Hill Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Diamond Hill After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Diamond Hill Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 17, 2018
186.51
Current Value
Downside
184.33
186.22
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
188.11
Upside
Diamond Hill is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Diamond Hill Investment is based on 1 month time horizon.

Diamond Hill Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.17% 0.63% 0.29%  0.01% 5 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
186.51186.220.16%
37.06% 

Diamond Hill Hype Timeline

Diamond Hill Investment Group is currently traded for186.51. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.29 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Diamond Hill Investment Group is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 186.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 37.06%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.16% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Diamond Hill is about 828.95% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 186.5. About 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Diamond Hill Investment Group was currently reported as 62.39. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.92. Diamond Hill Investment Group last dividend was issued on 2017-11-30. This company had 1:5 split on 2001-09-26. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 5 days.
Additionally see Diamond Hill Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Diamond Hill Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Credit Suisse Group AG(0.22) 3 per month 0.00 (0.13)  1.39 (1.77)  4.17 
Welltower 0.66 2 per month 1.44  0.13  1.82 (1.46)  5.46 
Nomura Holdings(0.05) 2 per month 0.00 (0.27)  1.39 (1.72)  8.91 
Sun Communities(1.17) 6 per month 0.66  0.16  1.33 (1.20)  2.85 
American Homes 4 Rent 0.13 2 per month 0.84 (0.0245)  1.19 (1.21)  2.63 
Jefferies Financial Group(0.31) 6 per month 1.04  0.08  3.51 (1.69)  9.88 
Douglas Emmett 0.06 4 per month 0.00 (0.20)  1.24 (1.11)  2.50 
Ares Capital Corporation(0.02) 3 per month 0.00  0.19  1.13 (0.29)  2.36 
Kilroy Realty Corporation 0.37 6 per month 0.00 (0.25)  0.77 (1.81)  4.59 
VICI Properties(0.21) 4 per month 0.00 (0.20)  1.54 (1.72)  2.80 

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Additionally see Diamond Hill Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.