Disney Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Disney headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Walt Disney Company brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Disney hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of The Walt Disney Company from the prospective of Disney response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Disney over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Disney Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Disney estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
May 30, 2017
108.4
Current Value
Downside upside
Downside
105.64
108.4
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
111.16
Upside
Upside upside
Disney is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of The Walt Disney is based on 1 month time horizon.

Disney Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.27% 0.92% 0.00%  0.04% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
108.40108.400.00%
0.00% 

Disney Hype Timeline

On 30 of May The Walt Disney Company is traded for  108.40 . This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. The Walt Disney Company is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at -0.27%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Disney is about 703.18%%. The volatility of related hype on Disney is about 703.18% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 108.44. About 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. Book value of The Walt Disney Company was currently as 27.36. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.9. The Walt Disney Company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.73. This company last dividend was issued on 2016-12-08. The firm had 1014:1000 split on June 13, 2007. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Additionally see Disney Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Disney Related Hype Analysis