Dollar Tree Valuation

DLTR Stock  USD 125.36  0.17  0.14%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Dollar Tree shows a prevailing Real Value of $141.4 per share. The current price of the firm is $125.36. Our model computes the value of Dollar Tree from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 217.98 M, profit margin of (0.03) %, and Current Valuation of 36.99 B as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, most investors advise buying undervalued instruments and selling overvalued instruments since, at some point, asset prices and their ongoing real values will submerge. Key fundamental drivers impacting Dollar Tree's valuation include:
Price Book
3.7322
Enterprise Value
37 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(904.54)
Price Sales
0.8917
Forward PE
17.9211
Undervalued
Today
125.36
Please note that Dollar Tree's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Dollar Tree is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Dollar Tree's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for Dollar Tree is useful when determining the fair value of the Dollar stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Dollar Tree. Since Dollar Tree is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Dollar Stock. However, Dollar Tree's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  125.36 Real  141.4 Target  150.17 Hype  127.65 Naive  128.3
The real value of Dollar Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Dollar Tree Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Dollar Tree's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Dollar Tree's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Dollar Tree's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
114.91
Downside
141.40
Real Value
143.77
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Dollar Tree helps investors to forecast how Dollar stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Dollar Tree more accurately as focusing exclusively on Dollar Tree's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
1.351.421.50
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
125.28127.65130.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
125.92128.30130.67
Details
29 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
136.65150.17166.69
Details
Traditionally analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Dollar Tree's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Dollar Tree's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Dollar Tree's closest peers. When choosing an evaluation method for Dollar Tree, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Dollar Tree Investments

(2 Billion)

Dollar Valuation Trend

Knowing Dollar Tree's actual value is paramount for traders to make sound investment determinations. Dollar Tree's real value is not only important for the investor to make better decisions but also for a more accurate overall view of Dollar Tree's financial worth over time since having this information enables investors and analysts to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Dollar Tree's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing descisions.

Dollar Market Cap

Dollar Tree is rated # 5 in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Consumer Staples industry is currently estimated at about 955.74 Billion. Dollar Tree holds roughly 27.29 Billion in market capitalization claiming about 2.86% of stocks in Consumer Staples industry.
Capitalization  Workforce  Revenue  Total debt  Valuation

Dollar Tree Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Dollar Tree's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Dollar Tree value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Dollar Tree competition to find correlations between indicators driving Dollar Tree's intrinsic value. More Info.
Dollar Tree is rated below average in price to earning category among related companies. It is rated below average in price to book category among related companies fabricating about  0.18  of Price To Book per Price To Earning. The ratio of Price To Earning to Price To Book for Dollar Tree is roughly  5.66 . As of 04/16/2024, Price To Book Ratio is likely to drop to 3.40. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value Dollar Tree by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for Dollar Tree's Stock. Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Dollar Tree's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Dollar Tree's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Dollar Tree and how it compares across the competition.

About Dollar Tree Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines the current worth of Dollar Tree on a weekly basis. We use both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dollar Tree. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Dollar Tree based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Dollar Tree's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and its related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Dollar Tree's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Dollar Tree. We calculate exposure to Dollar Tree's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dollar Tree's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit9.3 B9.8 B
Pretax Profit Margin(0.03) 0.10 
Operating Profit Margin 0.02  0.10 
Net Profit Margin(0.03) 0.06 
Gross Profit Margin 0.30  0.36 

8 Steps to conduct Dollar Tree's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Dollar Tree's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Dollar Tree's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Dollar Tree's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Dollar Tree's revenue streams: Identify Dollar Tree's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Dollar Tree's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Dollar Tree's growth potential: Evaluate Dollar Tree's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Dollar Tree's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Dollar Tree's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Dollar Tree Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines. Note, investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Dollar Tree does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding219.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.193
Forward Price Earnings17.9211

Dollar Tree Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Dollar Tree and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Dollar we look at many different elements of the entity such as Dollar's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation. Dollar Tree's valuation analysis is also a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Dollar Tree's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Dollar Tree, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Dollar Tree's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Dollar Tree's worth.
When determining whether Dollar Tree is a strong investment it is important to analyze Dollar Tree's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Dollar Tree's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Dollar Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Dollar Tree. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
To learn how to invest in Dollar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Dollar Tree guide.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

Complementary Tools for Dollar Stock analysis

When running Dollar Tree's price analysis, check to measure Dollar Tree's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dollar Tree is operating at the current time. Most of Dollar Tree's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dollar Tree's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dollar Tree's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dollar Tree to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Dollar Tree's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dollar Tree. If investors know Dollar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dollar Tree listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.19)
Earnings Share
(4.55)
Revenue Per Share
139.425
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.119
Return On Assets
0.0498
The market value of Dollar Tree is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dollar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dollar Tree's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dollar Tree's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dollar Tree's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dollar Tree's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dollar Tree's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dollar Tree is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dollar Tree's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.