Digimarc Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

DMRC -- USA Stock  

USD 30.55  0.55  1.83%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Digimarc Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Digimarc hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Digimarc Corporation from the prospective of Digimarc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Digimarc over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Digimarc After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Digimarc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 20, 2018
30.55
Current Value
31.55
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
38.18
Upside
Digimarc is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Digimarc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Digimarc Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.80% 2.21% 1.00%  0.02% 4 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
30.5531.553.27%
176.80% 

Digimarc Hype Timeline

Digimarc Corporation is currently traded for30.55. This company has historical hype elasticity of 1.0 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Digimarc Corporation is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 31.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 176.8%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 3.27% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.8%. The volatility of related hype on Digimarc is about 9604.52% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 30.57. The company currently holds 0 in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.1 which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 4 days.
Additionally see Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Digimarc Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Gartner(0.19) 5 per month 0.39  0.20  1.53 (0.79)  3.49 
Digimarc Corporation 1.25 4 per month 0.00  0.26  3.87 (3.51)  9.61 
Edgewater Technology(0.09) 4 per month 0.00 (0.08)  1.60 (4.84)  14.01 
EPAM Systems(1.03) 5 per month 0.00 (0.11)  1.25 (0.86)  5.74 
Accenture plc(1.72) 3 per month 0.32  0.09  1.25 (1.01)  2.49 
CDW Corporation 0.86 6 per month 0.45  0.05  0.98 (0.89)  2.74 
Computer Task Group Incorporated(0.1) 3 per month 0.00 (0.57)  1.00 (3.01)  4.48 
DXC Technology Company 1.42 4 per month 0.00  0.16  1.23 (0.69)  2.38 
CGI Group(1.74) 2 per month 0.57 (0.0439)  1.38 (1.33)  2.02 
FRONTEO 1.57 2 per month 0.00  0.25  9.99  0.00  10.01 

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Additionally see Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
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