Digimarc Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

DMRC -- USA Stock  

USD 30.80  1.10  3.45%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Digimarc headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Digimarc Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Digimarc hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Digimarc Corporation from the prospective of Digimarc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Digimarc over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Digimarc After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Digimarc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

June 20, 2018
30.80
Current Value
32.32
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
39.64
Upside
Digimarc is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Digimarc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Digimarc Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.60% 2.44% 0.12%  0.03% 6 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
30.8032.320.37%
1,220% 

Digimarc Hype Timeline

Digimarc Corporation is currently traded for30.80. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.12 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Digimarc Corporation is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 32.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1220.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.37% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.6%. The volatility of related hype on Digimarc is about 5545.45% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 30.77. The company reported previous year revenue of 24.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (27.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.66 M. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Additionally see Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Digimarc Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Digimarc Corporation 0.20 6 per month 1.51  0.26  4.68 (2.74)  8.44 
Datalink Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Dell Technologies 0.91 4 per month 0.01  0.39  2.11 (1.06)  6.26 
Violin Memory 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Verint Systems 0.55 6 per month 1.71  0.22  2.20 (1.85)  6.86 
Ebix(1.60) 5 per month 1.00  0.15  3.13 (2.02)  5.86 
Electronics for Imaging(0.42) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0358)  1.66 (2.16)  3.63 
Echelon Corporation(0.08) 5 per month 1.55  0.17  3.80 (3.02)  6.82 
Ember Therapeutics 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Wave Systems Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

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Additionally see Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. drill down to check world indexes.